Justin Jefferson
24-Year-Old
2023 Receiving Stats
REC
68
YDS
1074
TD
5
AVG
15.8
TAR
100
2024 Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Jefferson reached 1,400 yards as a rookie, 1,600 as a sophomore, 1,800 in Year 3 and then looked ready to push for 2,000 early last season. He was already up to 571 in Week 5 when a hamstring knocked him out for the fourth quarter and then the next seven games. Jefferson's long-awaited return was spoiled by a chest injury after 13 snaps, but he came back the next week and exploded for 476 yards over the final four games to comfortably clear 1,000 yards for the season (1,074). If not for the two partial games, he almost certainly would've led the league in receiving yards per game for a second straight year, though Miami's Tyreek Hill was the undisputed king for both 2022 and 2023 in terms or per-route production. Jefferson is by no means lacking in that regard -- he's been Top 10 in yards per route in all four of his seasons -- but it helps that he almost never comes off the field when healthy and spent the past two years in Kevin O'Connell offenses that threw the ball 676 (3rd) and 631 (4th) times. O'Connell is still around, but the Minnesota offense is much harder to decipher after TE T.J. Hockenson suffered last-year ACL tear and QB Kirk Cousins left for Atlanta. While few teams, if any, match the WR pairing of Jefferson and 2023 first-round pick Jordan Addison, there's obvious risk of a down year with rookie J.J. McCarthy and/or Sam Darnold taking the QB snaps. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Stellar performance to end season
Jefferson brought in 12 of 14 targets for 192 yards and a touchdown and rushed once for minus-12 yards in the Vikings' 30-20 loss the Lions on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The Vikings were eliminated from postseason contention with the loss, but Jefferson certainly finished off the season in grand fashion. The ultra-talented wideout terrorized the Lions secondary throughout the afternoon, comfortably leading Minnesota in receptions, receiving yards and targets while also recording a nifty 38-yard touchdown grab. Jefferson's totals were also season highs across the board, and with the prolific afternoon, he finishes the season with 1,074 receiving yards in only 10 games despite having played with four different quarterbacks.
The Vikings were eliminated from postseason contention with the loss, but Jefferson certainly finished off the season in grand fashion. The ultra-talented wideout terrorized the Lions secondary throughout the afternoon, comfortably leading Minnesota in receptions, receiving yards and targets while also recording a nifty 38-yard touchdown grab. Jefferson's totals were also season highs across the board, and with the prolific afternoon, he finishes the season with 1,074 receiving yards in only 10 games despite having played with four different quarterbacks.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Justin Jefferson's 2023 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank.
The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Air Yards Per Game
129.3Air Yards Per Snap
2.46% Team Air Yards
27.4%% Team Targets
16.6%Avg Depth of Target
12.8 YdsCatch Rate
68.0%Drop Rate
4.0%Avg Yds After Catch
4.0% Targeted On Route
25.9%Avg Yds Per Route Run
2.78Loading Advanced NFL Stats...
2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Justin Jefferson lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
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2023 Justin Jefferson Split Stats
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Measurables Review
View College Player Page
How do Justin Jefferson's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 1"Weight
195 lbs40-Yard Dash
4.43 secVertical Jump
37.5 inBroad Jump
126 inHand Length
9.13 inArm Length
33.00 in
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Pause in negotiations
Jefferson and the Vikings took a brief pause in contract negotiations as the team prepared for the NFL draft, Kevin Seifert of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
The sides have been working on an extension for over a year, and it will almost certainly make Jefferson the highest-paid wide receiver in the league. General manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensah described the sides as having productive negotiations that will begin again soon. He also noted that he wanted the spotlight to be on Jefferson when the deal gets done, meaning the team may opt to wait a bit to announce any completed deal until buzz surrounding the draft and new quarterback J.J. McCarthy subsides.
The sides have been working on an extension for over a year, and it will almost certainly make Jefferson the highest-paid wide receiver in the league. General manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensah described the sides as having productive negotiations that will begin again soon. He also noted that he wanted the spotlight to be on Jefferson when the deal gets done, meaning the team may opt to wait a bit to announce any completed deal until buzz surrounding the draft and new quarterback J.J. McCarthy subsides.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Jefferson, Randy Moss and Odell Beckham are the only players to reach 4,000 receiving yards in their first three NFL seasons, and Jefferson is more than 650 yards clear of the other two after leading the NFL with 1,809 last year. The 22nd overall pick from the 2020 draft has neatly progressed from 1,400 to 1,600 to 1,800 yards each year while catching at least 64.7 percent of his targets for at least 9.7 YPT each season. Jefferson is only slightly above league average for WRs in terms of size (6-1, 195) and timed speed (4.43 40), but he's otherwise elite when it comes to route-running, ball skills and general feel for the game. He rapidly surpassed veteran Vikings wideout Adam Thielen, who was released this offseason and signed with Carolina. Thielen's departure might mean even more defensive attention on Jefferson, but it could also mean even more targets in a passing game that otherwise features first-round WR Jordan Addison, TE T.J. Hockenson and WR KJ Osborn. Boasting the highest non-injury floor of anyone in the player pool, Jefferson quickly emerged as the most popular No. 1 overall pick in early 2023 drafts. While one might argue there are a few running backs with more upside, we also have to consider that a 2,000-yard season is within Jefferson's range of possibilities.
More Fantasy News
Poor QB play affects line
Jefferson finished with five receptions on 10 targets for 59 yards in Sunday's 33-10 loss to the Packers.
ANALYSIS
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Goes off for 141 yards plus score
Jefferson corralled six of 10 targets for 141 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 30-24 loss to the Lions.
ANALYSIS
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Building back momentum
Jefferson caught seven passes for 84 yards on 10 targets in the 27-24 overtime loss to the Bengals on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Suiting up Saturday
Jefferson (chest) is listed as active for Saturday's game at Cincinnati.
ANALYSIS
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Status in question for Saturday
Jefferson (chest) is listed as questionable for Saturday's game at Cincinnati.
ANALYSIS
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