FanDuel NBA: Wednesday Value Plays

FanDuel NBA: Wednesday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel NBA series.

We have a massive 13-game slate before the NBA takes their customary day off on Thanksgiving. With a slate this large, taking multiple stabs with unique lineups is a great path to profitability.

SLATE OVERVIEW

PHO (-7) @ CLE O/U: 209

IND (-1.5) vs. LAL O/U: 218.5

CHA (-7) @ ORL (-7) O/U: 219.5

BKN (-1) @ BOS O/U: 216.5

CHI (-8.5) @ HOU O/U: 213.5

MEM (-3.5) vs. TOR O/U: 221.5

MIL (-14) vs. DET O/U: 214.5

MIA (-2) @ MIN O/U: 212.5

UTA (-12.5) @ OKC O/U: 208.5

WAS (-3.5) @ NOR O/U: 209.5

ATL (-3.5) @ SAS O/U: 220

GSW (-10.5) vs. PHI O/U: 218.5

POR (-2.5) @ SAC O/U: 224

INJURIES

CLE Darius Garland (neck) - QUESTIONABLE

Garland was balling it prior to this injury. If he can't make it, roll with Ricky Rubio ($5,400), and give Isaac Okoro ($4,700) additional run.

Caris LeVert (back) - QUESTIONABLE

Chris Duarte ($4,900) is the guy to target in LeVert's place.

ORL Cole Anthony (ankle) - OUT

ORL Gary Harris (hand) - QUESTIONABLE

Jalen Suggs ($5,600) and R.J. Hampton ($5,700) will be logging significant time in Orlando's backcourt.

BKN Joe Harris (ankle) - OUT

BKN Bruce Brown (hamstring) - OUT

Patty Mills ($4,800) continues to be a great option in this spot.

CHI Nikola Vucevic (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

CHI Alex Caruso (wrist) - QUESTIONABLE

Ayo Dosunmu ($3,900) has seen increased run in the backcourt but should only be a tournament flier. Derrick Jones ($4,200) is my top pivot for Vucevic currently.

TOR OG Anunoby (hip) - QUESTIONABLE

TOR Precious Achiuwa (shoulder) - QUESTIONABLE

You can get some value from Khem Birch ($4,700) in this spot, but Scottie Barnes ($6,500) is the guy expected to get more minutes here.

MEM Dillon Brooks (hamstring) - QUESTIONABLE

MEM De'Anthony Melton (groin) - OUT

Desmond Bane ($5,800) is worth a look. He's coming off an excellent 28-point game against Utah in this injury scenario.

DET Isaiah Stewart (suspension) - OUT

Usage should flow to Trey Lyles ($3,700)  and Luka Garza ($3,500) amid Stewart's suspension, but these are both primarily punt GPP plays.

OKC Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) - OUT

With SGA out, your best bets are loading up on Josh Giddey ($6,000)  and Luguentz Dort ($6,100).

PHI Joel Embiid (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

PHI Tobias Harris (hip) - QUESTIONABLE

PHI Seth Curry (back) - QUESTIONABLE

Harris could take the floor, but I'm all about Furkan Korkmaz ($4,600) if he doesn't play. Obviously, Andre Drummond ($7,800) is still in play with Embiid out, and Tyrese Maxey ($8,100) is a great addition regardless of Curry's status tonight. If Curry does suit up, I will take advantage of the brother vs. brother narrative against the Warriors.

ELITE PLAYERS

We'll consider the elite-player list at 14 players from the top down to $9,000. The player I will have the most exposure to is likely to be LaMelo Ball ($9,300). His salary is too cheap relative to his overall production, and with Orlando hurting in the backcourt, Ball could really pop. He's probably the most popular guy to gravitate to up top as I want to strive for uniqueness on such a large slate. I like where Ja Morant ($9,400) is today, as he was above 10k last week. Although it'll be tough to reach 5x value with him, the matchup against Toronto could yield a big total. Dejounte Murray ($9,700) is bound to get a bit lost in the elite column, but he's a nightly double-double threat who can easily beat value at this salary if his shot volume and assist rate are high. We faded a lot of big names in this section, but I think it's the best way to approach the slate tonight.

Also consider: Stephen Curry, GSW ($10,500) vs PHI

EXPECTED CHALK AND CORE TARGETS

Domantas Sabonis, IND ($8,400) vs. LAL

The Lakers appear to be back at full speed tonight, and although Sabonis has had some real clunkers of late, he's come back to life a bit with two games of 40 or more FDFP. If he can convert some put-backs and a few extra boards, he can quickly pay off this salary.

Malcolm Brogdon, IND ($7,700) vs. LAL

Brogdon hasn't been as consistent as managers would like after missing a week at the beginning of the month, but the upside for 40 or more FP is always there for the point guard, and he'll face a Lakers team that sits at the bottom of the league in backcourt defense. Brogdon will also have the advantage of playing at home for the holidays.

CJ McCollum, POR ($7,500) @ SAC

McCollum has a better chance than Damian Lillard ($8,800) to pay off his salary tonight, although I have no problem rostering either player. I prefer McCollum's recent run of production. Over the past five games, he's averaged 21.8 points, 4.2 assists and 3.4 rebounds, and he's already laid down the hammer against Kings with 57 FDFP when they first met last month.

De'Aaron Fox, SAC ($7,300) vs. POR 

Staying away from Fox is understandable, but his salary has reached a point where he will pay off value more frequently. Portland has one of the worst defenses in the league at the moment, and Fox has the upside potential to get to 40 FDFP if the gameflow works in his favor.

Also consider: Miles Bridges, CHA ($8,200) @ ORL, Mo Bamba, ORL ($6,800) vs. CHA, John Collins, ATL ($7,800) @ SAS

VALUE PLAYS

There's a cornucopia of value up in the injury section (especially at 5k and below), so be sure to add your best value plays above to these additional gems below FanDuel's median salary.

Saddiq Bey ($5,700) and Cory Joseph ($4,100), DET @ MIL

The Pistons have their work cut out for them against the Bucks. But Bey's continued production and Joseph's recent starting opportunity are great value options. Joseph is fascinating, as he's had more the 20 FDFP for four consecutive games and eclipsed 30 FDFP in his last game against Miami. His continued upward trajectory is encouraging. Bey's floor is a bit less reliable, but he has sufficient upside to hit 5x value at this salary.

Wendell Carter. ORL ($5,800) vs. CHA

One would expect Carter and Mo Bamba to be an either/or proposition, but I would gladly roster them both against Charlotte, who have nothing intimidating to offer under the basket currently. Kyle Kuzma is a great defender, but he'll be at a height disadvantage if he tries to drive inside. I target Carter because his salary has taken a hit over the past week, and the decrease could make him extremely popular tonight. Granted, he hasn't lit up the boxscore over the past week, but his upside could show up in this favorable matchup.

LaMarcus Aldridge, BKN ($6,000) @ BOS

I nailed the Aldridge pick Monday, and his low ownership brought me into a double-up in GPP formats for the night. He's a bit more expensive this time around, but I still think he has great value against the Celtics. He's coming off a 21/11 double-double against Cleveland.

Also consider: Andrew Wiggins, GSW ($6,400) vs. PHI, Buddy Hield, SAC ($5,600) vs. POR, Chuma Okeke, ORL ($4,000) vs. CHA

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Edgerton
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
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