Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez

25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Houston Astros
Day-To-Day
Injury Head
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarez bounced back in a big way in 2021, significantly raising his 2022 stock and painfully reminding Dodgers fans they once gave him up for Josh Fields. Alvarez and his old-man knees hit the fountain of youth as he destroyed baseballs to all fields and finished the season 38% better than the league average by wRC+. Only Mike Trout, Fernando Tatis and George Springer have a higher Isolated Power (SLG-AVG) over the past three seasons. The only statistical flaw to his game is a void of steals, but he excels in run production and has a career .290 average in nearly 1,000 plate appearances. The added bonus of qualifying as an outfielder for the first time in drafts will only push up his price in drafts, but Alvarez is worth every penny. Players often reach another level in their third full pro season; if Alvarez does that, he wins the 2022 AL MVP because his next level could look like Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s 2021 season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#26
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $115 million contract extension with the Astros in June of 2022.
Being evaluated for concussion
OFHouston Astros
Head
June 29, 2022
Alvarez is being evaluated for a concussion after exiting Wednesday's game against the Mets, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
The 25-year-old was involved in a collision in left field Wednesday and was struck in the face by Jeremy Pena's arm. Alvarez remained down for several minutes after the incident but was able to walk to the cart that took him off the field. He'll travel with the team back to Houston, but his availability for the weekend series against the Yankees will depend on whether he's ultimately diagnosed with a concussion.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
45
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
18
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+42%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+460%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .878 328 48 18 58 0 .278 .357 .521
Since 2020vs Right .972 558 95 39 106 1 .296 .373 .599
2022vs Left .834 94 9 4 16 0 .256 .372 .462
2022vs Right 1.187 185 40 19 40 0 .346 .432 .755
2021vs Left .881 229 37 13 39 0 .283 .349 .532
2021vs Right .874 369 55 20 65 1 .274 .344 .530
2020vs Left 1.400 5 2 1 3 0 .400 .400 1.000
2020vs Right .250 4 0 0 1 0 .000 .250 .000
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+15%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .892 429 66 25 77 0 .282 .352 .540
Since 2020Away .980 457 77 32 87 1 .296 .381 .599
2022Home .987 119 19 9 23 0 .280 .387 .600
2022Away 1.132 160 30 14 33 0 .343 .431 .701
2021Home .855 301 45 15 50 0 .284 .339 .516
2021Away .899 297 47 18 54 1 .271 .354 .546
2020Home .958 9 2 1 4 0 .250 .333 .625
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Yordan Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.80
 
BB Rate
13.3%
 
K Rate
16.5%
 
BABIP
.306
 
ISO
.342
 
AVG
.316
 
OBP
.412
 
SLG
.658
 
OPS
1.070
 
wOBA
.452
 
Exit Velocity
 
Hard Hit Rate
43.5%
 
Barrels/PA
12.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Yordan Alvarez
Todd's Takes: Not So Dreary, Judging RBI and Bam!
7 days ago
Todd Zola gives his thoughts on Wednesday's MLB action, including a reassessment of Brandon Drury's rest-of-season projection.
Todd's Takes: So You Want to be an Official Scorer?
8 days ago
Todd Zola recaps the previous day's baseball action, including an argument for creating a 'team error' scoring option.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
10 days ago
Corey Knebel makes Erik Halterman's Fallers list, as he's finally been demoted from the Phillies' closer role, with the team going with a committee instead.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Targets
12 days ago
Chris Bennett's Saturday slate picks include Alex Wood, who's been worth 26-plus FanDuel points in four straight outings and faces a Pirates lineup that whiffs 24.5 percent of the time against lefties.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets
16 days ago
Chris Bennett checks out Tuesday's slate as Freddie Freeman and the Dodgers host the cross-town rival Angels.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
Many players were hit hard by the pandemic in 2020, both in terms of how it affected their availability and in how it impacted their performance, and Alvarez was part of that group. His 2019 domination of baseballs set high expectations for the reigning Rookie of the Year, but COVID-19 led to him missing all of summer camp and the first three weeks of the season. He came back for all of nine plate appearances before being sent to the IL with a knee injury which eventually required season-ending surgery. Alvarez said he had dealt with the knee pain since the summer of 2019, but you would never know it statistically. There have been a few videos this offseason showing Alvarez on the treadmill during rehab, which is a good sign. Designated hitters still need their legs as the foundation of their swing, so Alvarez's recovery should be monitored closely. Adjust your risk/reward scale accordingly.
Alvarez was worth the wait for those who stashed him while he abused the Pacific Coast League to the tune of a .343/.443/.742 slash line over the first two months. Upon getting called up, the 22-year-old quickly became a foundational piece in Houston's lineup, claiming AL Rookie of the Year honors on the back of a 178 wRC+ that ranked fourth among all hitters following his June 9 promotion. Both the eye test and the Statcast metrics supported the notion that Alvarez is already one of the game's premier power bats, and his exceptional plate approach and ability to handle lefties (.307/.389/.649 in 131 plate appearances) should make him an annual batting title contender, too. Alvarez will only be eligible in a utility spot in most leagues to begin 2020, but like peak David Ortiz and Nelson Cruz before him, he's one of the few players whose lack of positional versatility shouldn't be viewed as a handicap.
There is an inevitable disconnect with where Alvarez ranks on real-life lists and fantasy-specific prospect rankings. He won’t provide much defensive value, likely getting starts in left field, at first base and at DH. What he will do, however, is hit for power and average. After putting on a clinic against Texas League pitchers (.290 ISO, 168 wRC+), he was promoted to Triple-A one week after his 21st birthday in late June. His BABIP fell from .377 to .315 after the promotion, accounting for the dip in average. However, he maintained an impressive all-fields approach (39.5 Pull%, 33.6 Oppo%) and actually upped his walk rate from 10% to 12.2%. The 6-foot-5, 225-pound Cuban slugger makes such hard contact that his true talent BABIP is probably much closer to his Double-A mark. He hit above .300 against same-handed pitching at both stops, so a future platoon seems unlikely. The Astros have no reason to rush him, but he will likely force the issue this summer.
While Alvarez is a first-base-only prospect who is unproven above Low-A, he should still be viewed as a high-end asset. He has monstrous raw power, yet primarily accesses it to the opposite field, much like Domingo Santana. This rare tendency is the result of an extremely advanced all-fields approach. He rocketed the ball all over the Midwest League (.449 BABIP, 207 wRC+) en route to a midseason promotion to High-A, where the lefty-hitting slugger hit 35.8 percent of his hits to right field, 27.9 percent to center field and 36.3 percent to left field. Alvarez’s walk rate was cut in half against more advanced pitching, but his strikeout rate also dropped from 25.9 percent to 16.3 percent. Despite measuring in at 6-foot-5, 225 pounds, he has average speed, but that figures to tick down as he matures. It will be tough to crack the Astros’ lineup in the coming years, but Alvarez has the offensive ceiling to do so, which should excite owners in even the shallowest of dynasty leagues.
More Fantasy News
Carted off after collision
OFHouston Astros
Undisclosed
June 29, 2022
Alvarez was removed in the eighth inning of Wednesday's game against the Mets after he was involved in a collision with teammate Jeremy Pena in the outfield, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports. He went 0-for-3 with a walk before departing the contest.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs 23rd homer
OFHouston Astros
June 29, 2022
Alvarez went 3-for-3 with two walks, a two-run home run and two runs scored Tuesday against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Re-enters starting nine
OFHouston Astros
June 28, 2022
Alvarez (hand) will serve as Houston's designated hitter and No. 3 batter in Tuesday's game against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Resting Sunday
OFHouston Astros
June 26, 2022
Alvarez is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Keeps crushing Thursday
OFHouston Astros
June 23, 2022
Alvarez went 2-for-5 with a three-run home run in Thursday's 7-6 loss to the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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