This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
Previous: 1-6, -6.89 RWBucks
Overall: 164-141-2, +3.17 RWBucks
Brutal slate Tuesday as I lost almost seven total units. Looking back on it, the mistake on going all in on the Red Sox in several different ways came back to bite me in a huge way.
Braves vs. Dodgers
Max Fried at Alex Vesia (Bullpen game)
The Braves are 12-1 in Fried's last 13 starts. Those starts have been split with six at home and seven on the road. The average total in Fried's starts this year has been 8.3. (8.0 on the road). The under is 9-4 in Fried's 13 road starts and is 8-5 in the last 13. The average score in Fried's last 13 starts has been 7.4 runs. The Braves are just 3-4 in games where Fried has been a road underdog and six of seven went under the total. In Fried's seven road starts, no team scored more than five runs and only one game had a combined total of more than 7. In Game 1 against the Dodgers, Fried allowed two runs on eight hits in six innings.
The Dodgers are hitting .231 in the playoffs and averaging 3.5 runs per game.
I am sticking with things that I think are knowns in this game. I have no clue who will pitch for the Dodgers or how the Braves offense will react. But I do love Fried in this spot and will play him accordingly.
BET: Under 8.0 (-105) for 1 RWBuck
BET: Fried over 4.5 strikeouts (+100) for 1 RWBuck
