MLB Betting: Wednesday Best Bets

MLB Betting: Wednesday Best Bets

This article is part of our MLB Betting series.

Previous article 1-3 -2.00

Overall 59-44 +6.62

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals 8:15 pm et

Kyle Hendricks vs. Adam Wainwright

Hendricks has won 10 in a row with 2 no-decisions in his last 12 starts and has gone at least 6 innings in all of them. He has faced the Cardinals three times this year going 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and just 7 strikeouts in 19 innings. The Cardinals are a tough team to strike out and Hendricks is not a strikeout pitcher. But we can see here that he has success against this team and is very consistent in the number of innings per start. I really wanted to take Hendricks over 17.5 outs but the juice was -161 and just too high, so the alternative is the under on earned runs. He has been one of the most profitable pitchers 1st 5 innings this season (13-5-1 +$556).

BET – Hendricks under 3.5 earned runs (-133) for 1 RW buck

BET – Cubs -0.5 F5 (+145) for 1 RW buck

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers 10:10 pm et

Logan Webb vs. Julio Urias

Normally I avoid road underdogs when going over on a strikeout prop, but the Giants have been great on the road (29-22) and 17-11 as road dogs outright which is impressive. If you dig into Webb's game logs you will see 2 bad starts in 2 of the toughest ballparks to pitch in – at Coors and at Citizens Bank. In the 9 starts excluding those he has pitched 47.1 innings with 50 strikeouts, 13 walks, 2.28 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.  In the 6 starts from May 11th on he has 35 strikeouts, 7 walks, 0.87 ERA, and 0.84 WHIP.

On May 29th he went 5 innings against the Dodgers on the road and struck out 7 batters.  That is enough data for me to feel confident in taking the over on the strikeout prop but also the Giants on the first five innings.

BET – Webb over 4.5 strikeouts (+100) for 1 RW buck

BET – Giants +0.5 F5 (-110) to win for 1 RW buck

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Michael Rathburn
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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