ROTOWIRE.COM NFL MLB / Minors NBA NHL GOLF RACING    COMMUNITY FORUMS PODCASTS MYROTOWIRE ASK AN EXPERT GAMES
Friday, May 18, 2012

At The Quarter Pole Of The Marathon

Most teams begin to assess their club right about this time of year. Some will be talking about huge surprises.
Thursday, May 17, 2012

Backing the Padres

It's all about the Padres tonight.

Happy Pre-Friday

As I mentioned in an earlier blog, I typically don’t like wagering on baseball on Mondays and Thursdays, when there are fewer games from which to choose.
Wednesday, May 16, 2012

NHL Playoff Observations -- Wednesday

Just a few things that caught my eye ...
  • Sometimes it just doesn't pay to try, try again. Like dumping the puck up the wall to escape the defensive zone. I'm talking to you, Rangers. It didn't work in the first or the second. So why keep doing it in the third?
  • Ilya Kovalchuk's release is absolutely sick. Unfreakingly insane.

Betting - I'm Backkkkkk!

Lets keep this roll going. My man ringison has some good info as well so hopefully one or both of us can win some coin for the Rotowire crowd. I have a small slate of games today. Today's games.....

Wednesday's child is full of woe... not!

It couldn’t have gone any better or been any easier yesterday, cashing in on both my wagers and improving my season record to 8-3, +$516.
Tuesday, May 15, 2012

NHL Playoff Observations -- Tuesday

Just a few things that caught my eye ...
  • Men vs. boys. Do I need to say anything else? Only this -- no eight seed has ever won the Cup.
  • It appears Brian Burke is right -- big, strong and talented centers make a team go round. Darryl Sutter has a raft of them. Dave Tippett does not.

If it's Tuesday, it must be...

…time to make some money. 

How To Stream

An in-depth look at everybody's favorite labor-intensive fantasy tactic.
Monday, May 14, 2012

NHL Playoff Observations -- Conference Finals Begin

Just a few things that caught my eye ...
  • Irritable bowel disease, fibromyalgia and center-line goals -- everything has a support group these days. Don't worry, Jonathan Quick -- Tommy Salo or Dan Cloutier will text with the time and date of the next meeting.
  • I was wrong -- T.J. Oshie is just the baby honey badger. The original nastya$$ honey badger? Dale Hunter. He really don't give a @#$%. He ripped the head off that cobra named Alexander Ovechkin. Crazy $%&!. Then what did honey badger Hunter do? Quit ... on his own terms to head back to the farm. Honey badger might be a bada$$, but honey badger sure is smart. Besides, honey badger needs to get his soybeans into the ground.

Betting - Where is Everyone?

Funny, I have a solid $284 winning day and yet I hear nothing. No rips like "it is about time" or "every dog has its day" ... etc. Well, I am pretty sure starting on Wed I will turn this nice one day streak into more! Like my man rikigison now knows ... it is a different monster when posting your picks my boy!

Record  10-15

Bank Account -807

Mock Draft Monday Results/Results: 5/14

Every Monday a group of experts will get together on mockdraftcentral.com and this week we did a basic 10-team non PPR draft with a FLEX (WR/TE/RB) spot.

Kiss Today Goodbye

I typically don’t like wagering on baseball on Mondays and Thursdays, when there are fewer games from which to choose.
Sunday, May 13, 2012

Josh Hamilton vs. Peak Barry Bonds

I tweeted the other day that as strong a start as Josh Hamilton's had, his OPS (1.334) in 31 games is actually lower than Barry Bonds' was in three full seasons (2001, 2002 and 2004). While this is true, it occurred to me that Hamilton's season pace - 87 homers in a 150-game season with a .402 average - has to be more valuable than Bonds' years, despite the lower OPS.

NFBC Week #6 FAAB Results

Submitted without commentary this week due to time constraints, but more closer madness bidding in the results:

Betting - Papa Needs a New Wallet

I would first like to wish all of the mothers a Happy Mother's Day! Now on the the gloom that was yesterday....Brutal day yesterday as I was done in by the likes of Brian Matusz, Phil Hughes, Feliz Doubront, etc. That will not happen again for a long time....I hope. I have to say I prefer to lose to the big guns as losing to the group above leaves a real bad taste. One of my all-time favorites Andy Pettitte returns for the Yankees today, but at -190 I will pass. Lets get on with today's games as we are riding the favs today. Today's games...

 

Anything You Can Do I Can Do Better (or at least try to)

Given my success, albeit limited, wagering on MLB last week (6-1, +$499), compounded by the troubles of my fellow blogger Tom Vara (7-14, -$1,091), I thought I would buck the odds and offer up a few selections I like today.
Saturday, May 12, 2012

Staff Keeper League Notes: Week 6

Recap of the free agent auction and standings from Week 6.

Betting - Taking the Mariners Again?

We gambled on King Felix and lost last night as the King left the building early. Kuroda pitched a fine game, but this bet was relying on King Felix to come through. The Mets blew a lead in the 9th for a tough loss. The Dodgers rolled the Rockies to keep the losses at a minimum. Can you believe that Chris Capuano and Ted Lilly are two of the best pitchers in baseball right now? I will continue to ride the both of them until proven wrong. It looks like CJ Wilson after pitching 1/3 of an inning before the rain last night may pitch tonight. I have no faith in Matt Harrison so I tend to shy away from games when he is pitching. Some big wagers today folks. Here are today's games....

 

 

The Nickname Crisis In Our Nation's Capital

Where have you gone, Yankee Clipper? A nation turns its restless tongues to you.
Friday, May 11, 2012

NHL Playoff Observations -- Heading Into Game 7

Just a few things that caught my eye ...
  • Exhaustion is almost guaranteed with a new baby. Braden Holtby became a first-time dad on Thursday. Wonder how that's going to affect his game.
  • Score first and win. It seems to work in the Rangers-Capitals series. Can't wait for Saturday night ...

Betting - The King has Arrived!

Finally, a pretty easy night last as we went 2-1 +200. How long can we ride the Twins as dogs? Does anyone have the nuts to bet the Under in a Texas game? I am losing faith in the Phillies who now seem vulnerable comapred to years past. Lets grill some steaks, drink a few beers, and win some money! Today's games.....

 

 

 

Diary of a PPR Mock Draft

Last week I offered up a rundown of my picks from the standard mock draft we held on May 1st in Diary of a Mock Draft. With the results now posted, it’s time to breakdown my PPR team from the mock draft RotoWire held last Friday.
Thursday, May 10, 2012

Betting - Strasburg Equals Value Today

We took a hit last night as the Mets continue to win, closers are driving me nuts, and every game seems to be close which is causing more hair loss. Lets get right to it! Today's Games.....

Wednesday, May 9, 2012

RotoWire PPR Mock Draft

On Friday, we had our first PPR mock following the 2012 draft. It was a 14-team league with 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 FLEX (RB/WR/TE), 1 TE, 1 K, 1 D and 5 reserves. Standard scoring except 1 point per reception. Results are below:

Devils-Flyers Recap

Examining New Jersey's convincing win over Philadelphia, a result not many, myself included, saw coming

Betting - Finding Value with the Astros?

Last night was a classic case of how two large wagers own the night. We risked -350 on Ana and -370 on Det. I forgot the Angels offense is still a work in progress and Haren still has too many games as an elite pitcher where he doesn't show up. On the flip side we suffered through all 9 innings of a Tigers win which on paper didn't look close considering Millwood was opposing Verlander. Millwood did what we assumed in pitching poorly, but Verlander did not pitch as well thus relying on the scary to watch Valverde close the door with the bases loaded. Nailing the Mets at +180 always leaves a good taste. Here is what I like today....

 

 

Tuesday, May 8, 2012

Betting - Ride the Winning Streak!

The play of the day which should have been the play of the year hit easily as the Angels took out the Twins 8-3. Everything lined up perfect from Weaver owning the Twins to Liriano stinking to Willingham being out with the flu. Easy win at -163. The Twins are quickly becoming the team to bet against each time out.

I am going to start a new tracking system in regards to my bets. I will show how much I would bet and then the next day the results so the readers have a feel for how I am doing. Today's Games.......

Fantasy Football ADP Notes

Yes, I know it's fantasy baseball season (how quickly has the first 20% of the season gone, by the way).  However, here are some things I've noticed about the latest (ADP) report from Mock Draft Central:
Monday, May 7, 2012

NHL Playoff Observations -- Monday

Just a few things that caught my eye ...
  • Fashion advice for Joel Ward -- nothing goes well with goat horns. Nothing.
  • Conn Smith? I really don't think it's too early to anoint Mike Smith a serious front-runner for the Conn Smythe.

<< [1] 2 >>

Tell Someone

  • Digg it
  • submit to reddit reddit
  • Add to Mixx!

Recent Favorites

How BABIP Affects the Value of Strikeouts and Walks
The league-average batting-average-on-balls-in-play (BABIP) has been on a downward trajectory for the last half decade, something that has implications for the values of different at-bat outcomes. BABIP is down precipitously this season (.289), though it's hard to tell to what extent that's due to all the shifting defenses (better data on where balls are hit have enabled this), or is simply just an April cold-weather/small sample anomaly.
NHL Playoff Observations -- Monday
Just a few things that caught my eye ...
  • Alexander Semin was on the wrong side of the grocery stick most of the night. You know, that spot between the back-up goalie and the rest of the team ... the one where the dead wood goes so it doesn't get in the way of on-the-fly changes.
  • Honey badger don't care. Honey badger doesn't give a $%!&.  T.J. Oshie gave up four inches and 50 pounds to Dustin Penner, but he didn't care. Then again, honey badger didn't care when he hit Rick Nash a few years ago, either. I wonder if the NHL would let me get a Blues #74 jersey with Honey Badger on the back.
Buy Lowest
Every year, we hear advice about how it's time to "buy low" on struggling stars like Albert Pujols, Giancarlo Stanton and Robinson Cano. "Get them now for cheap before they heat up!" Except that the market for superstars - at least in competitive leagues - usually doesn't move much after one bad month. (Whether it should in these cases is another question). It's more likely that the Pujols and Stanton owners are doubling down, figuring that only a hot streak from a player of that caliber can undo the damage that's already been done.

That doesn't mean you can't take advantage of the market's early overreaction, but you'll have to aim a little lower and take on quite a bit more risk. The players listed below are those who should be available at an actual discount.

Fantasy Rookies
Now that the 2012 NFL Draft is complete and rosters look about the way they will when training camps open in late July, it’s time to start the speculation train full steam ahead to fantasy draft days. Many players taken in this class will have a fantasy impact, some immediate, some in small spurts as rookies and some not for years to come.
Cowboys Draft: First Blush Thoughts
My initial reactions to the 2012 Dallas draft crop.

RSS Feeds