NHL Playoff Observations -- Wednesday (24th)
- Maxim Lapierre pulled a Matt Cooke, except Patrick Sharp wasn't hurt. But is it really any different? And should he still have been in the game late in the second when he notched the tying goal? Discuss.
- Paul Martin, postseason leading scorer. WTF? Seriously -- check the list.
NHL Playoff Observations -- Tuesday
- I was about to ask if anyone had seen Rick Nash. Then he goes and gets two assists. And I'm left to ask, has anyone seen Rick Nash? #overrated
- Kristers Gudlevskis pulled the short (and impossible) straw, yet he almost managed to steal Game 4. This kid has a bright future. Anders Lindback? Not so much.
NHL Playoff Observations -- Monday
- Antoine Roussel has the biggest coconuts I think I've seen in a while. He popped Ryan Getzlaf in the mask not once, but twice. Hard. That move is either going to inspire his team or make the Quackers very, very angry.
- It's Miller time. And by that I mean time for a brain fart. He was great AFTER that stinker he let between his legs in the first period. Then again, I'm not surprised. I've come to expect this kind of mental hiccup from him. Sad, really.
NHL Playoff Observations -- Sunday
- Who did the best impression of Bobby Orr -- P. K. Subban or Drew Doughty? My money goes to Pernell Karl. Man, I just love smooth-skating defenders who can take over the game.
- Brendan Smith -- did you think before you tried to take on Zdeno Chara? I think you're going to hear Chara laughing in your dreams (and nightmares) for the rest of your life. And if you ever do forget, Reilly Smith will remind you every, single summer.
NHL Playoff Observations -- Saturday
- Nathan MacKinnon's first playoff goal? Datsyukian. Wow. Then he backed the great Ryan Suter off the line before setting up the second. #schooled.
- Brent Seabrook's hit on David Backes was ugly. There's no other description. He's not a dirty player and he has no history of this. But he should still have known better. Phone hearing coming up.
NHL Playoff Observations -- Friday
- Lift and separate. Divide and conquer. Milan Lucic just has a way of saluting an opponent's manhood, doesn't he? And we think Maxim Lapierre, Matt Cooke and even his teammate Brad Marchand are dirty.
- Pavel Datsyuk. "Datsyuked." I'm going to just leave it at that. Wow.
NHL Playoff Observations -- Thursday
- Welcome to Broadway, Martin St. Louis -- you successfully elicited the patented stink eye and verbal abuse from Henrik Lundqvist after the errant tip of Andrew MacDonald's point shot. He's been doing it for years, only to apparently express some kind of remorse the next day. At some point, you have to think that wears guys a little thin.
- Mike Brown and Raffi Torres -- what an antidote to the Kings so-called physical advantage. Still, there were 121 hits in that game. Yes, 121. No matter who wins in the West, they'll limp into the Cup final. Yikes.
NHL Playoff Observations -- Wednesday
- Six-foot-six isn't tall if you're always on your knees. Stand up, Anders Lindback -- STAND UP! They already know about that glove hand of yours. Don't give them anything else!
- Sidney Crosby has discovered it's tick season. Brandon Dubinsky just latches on between the shoulder blades and drains the energy right out of a guy.
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Mock-It-Yourself: The Cowboys
My NFBC Main Event Team
Here are the results:
My Rotowire/NFBC Online Championship Team
Favorite Mid-Round Bargains With Stable ADP Trendslate-round bargains and then Friday we took a final look at how the top-50 overall were shaping up, so it’s only fitting that we wrap things up with a look at the middle. Your first six to eight picks usually set the tone for your draft while your last few are usually reserved for late-round fliers or potential sleeper picks. The middle, however, is the meat of your draft and can be the battleground where your season is won or lost.
A Last-Minute Look at ADP Trends in the Top 50late-round options you may want to consider, so today we’re going to focus on those first few rounds.
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My Favorite Bargains Based on ADP Trends
The Unwanted: Top-10 ADP Fallerstop-10 ADP risers at MDC over the last two weeks; the popular kids, if you will. Now we’re going to pay some mind to that “loser” over there in the corner; to those kids who are shunned by the popular kids and are cast aside. With the help of the ADP trend report, we are now going to look at the 10 biggest ADP fallers.
The Popular Kids: Top-10 ADP Riserstrend report on Mock Draft Central, a good gauge for player popularity amongst the masses, we’re going to check and see just who would have earned a place on the student council had they been in fantasy baseball high school right now.
Do You Have To Spend It All?
ADP Trends of 2014's Trendiest Picks
My $75K Winning RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Online Championship Draft
Last Thursday (Mar. 13) I had the privilege of drafting with 11 other owners in a RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Online Championship League that we're running in conjunction with our friends at the National Fantasy Baseball Championship. You can win a $75,000 overall prize along with winning a $1,400 league prize. For this league it's also a “beat the RotoWire expert” league and the winners get a three-month rotowire subscription if they place higher than me in the standings. Last year that was easy pickings as I finished last in my league. I did win my football league in the same contest (NFFC), so I'm batting .500.
It's a 12-team, 5x5 mixed league that's pretty standard. The one exception is that in this contest there's no trading. That makes loading up on one category very risky. Last year my downfall was too many light hitters who could steal and not enough balance. I also didn't draft enough starting pitching and struggled to find starters on the waiver wire. So those were two areas I wanted to improve. I had the seventh draft slot. Let's see if I did it:
FSWA Draft Review
Recent Starting Pitcher ADP Trendsthe debates we’ve been hearing lately with regard to when you start drafting starters. You’ve got those you firmly stand by using higher picks to grab elite hurlers as they are supposed to be the most consistent/predictable, while the other side of the coin, which tends to be where the majority lie, is that the position is so deep, so rich with talent, that you can and should wait on it while you build your offense up to juggernaut level.
My FSWA team
Payne's Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup
Recent Outfield ADP Trends and Observations
The Exception to the Rule: How to Profit in Fantasy Sportsdiscounting all pitchers, you might buy the exceptional ones at a significant profit.
If everyone believes pitchers with low BABIPs in a given year will regress to roughly the league average (or at least the average given their teams' parks and defense), and you've noticed Mariano Rivera has a career BABIP well below it, you'll realize projections systems which normalize for BABIP will undervalue him.
Certain players and classes of players are exceptions - for some particular reason or collection of reasons they don't adhere to the general truisms which form the basis of most projections systems.