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Week 6 Observations

Brandon Jacobs ran well through wide open lanes against the Bears, but it was hard to keep from wondering how monstrous a day David Wilson would have had should he have stayed healthy. The Giants offensive line has been incapable of blocking anyone this year, so it shows how much the Bears defensive brand has deteriorated. News that Wilson is out only 3-4 weeks with a neck injury might be worse than him going on season-ending IR. Now you can't drop him and free up the spot, and the Giants won't have much of an incentive to rush him back. Moreover, Andre Brown should be back by then too.

Hakeem Nicks is a free agent after this year, and now it makes sense to deal him. If that happens both he and Rueben Randle could see a nice boost in value. Nicks looks completely healthy at this point.

Knowshon Moreno is a top-5 back. He leads the league in rushing TDs, plays for the best offense in the NFL and has 20 catches despite splitting time earlier in the year.

If Cecil Shorts gets healthy, the Jaguars arguably have a top-5 NFL receiving tandem, along with other winless teams like the Giants and Bucs.

What a gut punch Sunday's games were for those (like me) who had the Cardinals, Packers and Saints ATS. At least I can feel better about losing with the Texans (my best bet).

How is Danny Woodhead so much better at running the ball than first-round pick Ryan Mathews?

Eddie Lacy is a top-10 back in non-PPR.

RGIII doesn't look like the player from last year. It's not just the tentative running, but the poor pocket awareness, the missed throws and the locking in on Pierre Garcon. He might get better as the year goes on, but right now, he's not a top-10 QB.

Vernon Davis is healthy again, and that makes him the No. 1 TE right now, given the uncertainty over Jimmy Graham and Rob Gronkowski's health. Davis' health also puts Colin Kaepernick back on the map as a top-10 QB.

The Colts-Chargers game was low-scoring and close by design. It was like both coaches had a tacit agreement not to get a big lead by throwing downfield. As long as the other guy's punting, kicking field goals and running the ball into the line, you have cover to do it too.

Chris Johnson looks like a poor man's DeAngelo Williams now - no goal-line carries, not much as a receiver.

Without Julio Jones and Roddy White, Matt Ryan will get a chance to show how good he is as a quarterback. I would temper expectations.

Comments

By: Mark Stopa
On: 10/14/2013 8:51:00 PM
I want to see Nicks in Carolina. Nicks to Panthers for a 4th-rounder.
 
By: taborp
On: 10/15/2013 11:22:00 AM
Historically, how long does it take a WR to learn a new offense, develop timing with the new QB, etc., after he's traded mid-season? Do we have some comparables that would be instructive with Nicks? It would seem like 2-3 weeks would be needed at a minimum, though I imagine each situation is a little different. I'm just wondering how many games will be "lost" if Nicks is traded...never mind trying to figure out what kind of role Nicks might have on his new team.
 
By: Chris Liss
On: 10/15/2013 12:03:00 PM
It's true sometimes even free agent receivers struggle in their first season's with teams and that's after a full camp. But I think it's really QB, team and WR dependent. Maybe they call plays for Nicks he's comfortable with and he contributes off the bat. He's a game-changing talent in the right situation.
 
By: taborp
On: 10/15/2013 12:25:00 PM
Agreed about his talent. I think there's top 15 WR upside in the right situation. That said, as a Nicks owner, I wouldn't mind trading him to a like-minded manager. The potential transition to a new team makes me a little nervous. CAR seems like a better opportunity for production this year than, say SF, but that's pure speculation. It's too bad Nicks doesn't have a couple of TDs to boost his current value, but it may be worth testing the waters to see what he can bring alone or in a package.
 

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