ROTOWIRE.COM NFL MLB / Minors NBA NHL GOLF RACING    COMMUNITY FORUMS PODCASTS MYROTOWIRE ASK AN EXPERT GAMES

Week 3 Observations

The Giants are 3-8 since the mid-point of 2012, and after a total no-show in Carolina, it's time for Tom Coughlin, offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride and Eli Manning to take more heat. Benching a running back isn't going to cut it this week.

Speaking of which, David Wilson looked great and would have scored a 17-yard TD were it not for a marginal holding call. Wilson's final numbers were poor, but it wasn't his fault the Panthers front seven were meeting him four yards in the backfield. If the Giants eventually look like an NFL team, there's still huge upside here.

Ben Roethlisberger got 9.9 YPA, Jay Cutler got 5.3, but the Bears won by 17, thanks for five turnovers, two of which resulted in TDs.

Colin Kaepernick wishes he had Tom Brady's receivers. Anquan Boldin is far too slow to be the only game in town. They need Vernon Davis back, and they should deal for Kenny Britt or Josh Gordon. In the meantime, Kaepernick is not a top-10 QB.

Trent Richardson's value is also significantly down - he was outplayed by Ahmad Bradshaw who has always been effective, and Bradshaw isn't going away. While Richardson might see the majority of the work once he's up to speed, it'll be 60/40 at best so long as Bradshaw's healthy. That's not what you paid for with a top-10 pick.

With five tackles on Sunday, Aldon Smith sure keeps his motor running.

Assuming his thigh injury is no big deal, C.J. Spiller is in Richardson territory - a 60/40 timeshare at best - something on which you did not count when you used a first-round pick on him. Unlike Richardson, at least Spiller can do a fair amount with less work.

The Jets receivers are pretty good - Stephen Hill looks like a possible game-breaker, Santonio Holmes is still a skilled route-runner and pass catcher, and so is Jeremy Kerley. The offensive line and Bilal Powell aren't bad, either, and Geno Smith looks like a player. This team has a fair chance of making the playoffs.

When Bills lineman Alex Carrington went down with a injury near the end of Sunday's game, Jets fans booed on the assumption he was faking it. It was a hell of an acting job as Carrington went so far as to get carted off the field and was later placed on IR with a torn quad tendon. Not since Daniel Day Lewis in "Lincoln" has someone more thoroughly inhabited a role.

The Saints have a good defense.

The Cardinals are very generous to tight ends - both Jimmy Graham and Jared Cook had monster days against them.

Dwayne Bowe is being hurt less by Alex Smith's arm than the strong play of the Chiefs defense. Why take a chance when you don't have to? As soon as a team makes the Chiefs throw further down the field, Bowe will have a bigger role.

I gave Erickson 6:5 odds on Ray Rice playing more games than Darren McFadden. So far he's winning.

The Ravens are going to make the playoffs for the sixth time in the Joe Flacco/John Harbaugh era, and they'll be the last team favorites like the Broncos and Pats want to play if/when they get there.

Cecil Shorts would be Jerry Rice on the Patriots. What a great receiver, even with a below-average quarterback as the only game in town against a top secondary.

How grating are those Microsoft ads?

Getting zero points from your kicker (Josh Brown) is a special circle of fantasy hell.

The Bengals let Jonathan Franklin average 7.9 YPC, but held Aaron Rodgers to 5.7 YPA. Incidentally, does anyone remember how bad Franklin supposedly was in camp? What about the Jets?

The Dolphins RBs saw only 13 attempts combined in a close game. It's hard to see Lamar Miller earning his draft-day cost especially with Daniel Thomas getting the goal-line work.

Jacquizz Rodgers and Jason Snelling both averaged 4.8 YPC but Rodgers saw more carries, while Snelling saw more targets. There was no compelling reason to sign Steven Jackson this offseason.

After missing two games with a suspension, Josh Gordon saw 19 targets. He's on pace for 100-targets through three games now.

Why is the only league I have Jordan Cameron, Peyton Manning and LeSean McCoy the low-stakes 16-team Vegas one? Can I swap it out for one of my struggling NFFC teams?

Comments

By: Mark Stopa
On: 9/23/2013 6:00:00 PM
Watch that Jets playoff talk, Liss. The subscribers will get on you like mad. ;)
 
By: Mark Stopa
On: 9/23/2013 6:01:00 PM
The Cardinals did not change up their coverages against Graham at all, even when he was killing them. (Graham nearly had a third TD on the drive Brees ran it in). Definitely a team to target for TEs.
 
By: jnowak2799
On: 9/23/2013 10:02:00 PM
Cecil Shorts stock goes way down with Blaine "The Gift of" Gabbert starting, don't worry though Gabbert will be hurt by halftime.

I'm sure Le'Veon Bell will be just what that Steelers offense needs to get things going, or he might just suck like every other OVER-HYPED rookie and 2nd year RB this year.(see Montee Ball, Lamar Miller, and Trent Richardson)

I'm not very witty but usually always right.... I told you not to be like all the Lemmings out there and avoid James "Raiders of the Lost" Starks, I told you his real name was Harry "Houdini" Douglas, and like I said all Jerome Simpson does is "Flips" and gets caught with 8lbs. of weed in his house, I think he has his mind on other things than football, Run like a Lemming and spend, spend, spend on Johnathan Franklin.....really? Check yourself fool..... I know Mike McCarthy is a moron, but Green Bay will be throwing ALL DAY, EVERY DAY........why would you ever run the ball if you had Aaron Rodgers as your QB, its just stupid, it makes no sense, see Drew Brees, I'm out.
 

Leave a comment

Commenting is restricted to registered users only. Please register or login now to submit a comment.

Tell Someone

  • Digg it
  • submit to reddit reddit
  • Add to Mixx!

Recent Favorites

Do Analytics Take the Fun Out of Sports?
Apparently that was the topic of one of the presentations at the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference in Boston last week. The presenter, Yale's Edward Tufte, opined:

Don't let people tell you analytics are reductionist and take the joy out of sports. They mostly just take the stupidity out of sports.

Is he right?

RotoWire's AL LABR Squad
The 2014 AL LABR auction went down at the Arizona Republic offices in downtown Phoenix Saturday night. It's a 12-team, 5 x 5, AL-only league with 2 C, 1 1B, 1 2B. 1 3B, 1 SS, 1 CI, 1 MI, 5 OF, 1 U and 9 pitchers. Everyone has $260 to spend.
The Problem With Drafting Billy Hamilton
Billy Hamilton went for $28 in the NL LABR auction this past weekend. I discussed this with a fellow writer who participates in Tout Wars with me later this month and we discussed the problem with investing heavily into Hamilton.
Payne's Daily Fantasy Basketball Experiment
Let's see if I can make any money doing daily fantasy hoops.
My 12-Team NFBC RotoWire Online Championship Team
I drafted out of the 11-hole for the "Beat Chris Liss" league. I had done a fair amount of research on optimal roster construction from that slot, and I decided I'd go hitter in the first round, three pitchers in 2-4 and then hitting for the next 10 rounds or so before filling in with upside pitchers late. Of course, few battle plans survive the actual war. Here are the results:

RSS Feeds