Week 14 Observations

If you bet the over in the Giants-Saints, you really have David Wilson to thank with two long TDs and 327 total yards. Wilson can't pass block, so Ahmad Bradshaw will still get his work, but Wilson showed not only explosiveness, but toughness, breaking several tackles in the fourth quarter.

Eli Manning and Drew Brees made some bad decisions, forcing passes into coverage late and telegraphing their intentions to the opposing safeties. If you traded Brees for Cam Newton three weeks ago (a trade you'd have had have no trouble making), you'd be pretty happy right now.

Mysteriously, the Bills gave C.J. Spiller only seven carries (5.3 YPC) and Fred Jackson nine (1.6 YPC). Especially in a low-scoring game they were winning most of the way, it's odd Ryan Fitzpatrick attempted 33 passes.

Nick Foles threw for 381 yards while Bryce Brown ran for six. The Bucs sure did succeed (as they usually do) in shutting down the run.

Alex Henery missed a 58-yard FG at the end of the first half that hit the upright about two thirds of the way up. You have to think he had the distance from about 65 or 70.

Matt Ryan's accumulation of empty stats still counts for your fantasy team. Cam Newton is likely to be the No. 1 or No. 2 fantasy QB in many formats after this week.

The Bears offense is bad, and now that the defense isn't getting pick-sixes twice a game, its merely good, but nothing special. Brandon Marshall saw another 19 targets, and that won't change any time soon.

Adrian Peterson had another 154 yards, giving him 1,600 for the year, on pace for 1,969. He claims he's aiming to break Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record (2105). To get there, he'd need 506 over the next three games (169 yards per). As long as he's not hurting, expect the Vikings coaching staff to oblige him if he stays in range.

How annoying are those Amazon commercials? I love Amazon and even have stock in it, but the tone of the voice-over is cloying to the point of being insulting. I can't imagine anyone signing off on that patronizing tone.

Speaking of ads, apparently Heather Ankeny, who co-hosts our Video Segments is in a Buick one. She told me it aired during the Giants game, but I must have missed it while running to the kitchen.

The Jets need to play ugly, so they might as well unveil Tim Tebow at this point.

Maybe Andrew Luck really does make plays only when the Colts need them most.

Kenny Britt seems like he could be in the Brandon Marshall/Dez Bryant mold - troubled but dominant big receiver with speed - if he ever gets it together and stays healthy for an extended stretch.

Of course, I faded the Chargers this week, and of course they rolled in Pittsburgh. I'm playing checkers, and they're playing chess.

My 10-month old daughter simply isn't mature enough to watch the games with me at this point. I had to get her mom to remove her from the office.

Somehow the Chiefs lost 30-7 even though Brady Quinn had 7.6 YPA, Brandon Weeden had 7.2 YPA, Jamaal Charles had 165 yards (9.2 YPC) and Trent Richardson had 42 yards (2.3 YPC). Dustin Colquitt (48 yards per punt) even outkicked Reggie Hodges (41 YPP). Quinn threw one pick, and Travis Benjamin took a kick to the house, but that should have made the game close, not resulted in a blowout.

Coming off a home loss to the Charlie-Batch-led Steelers, the Ravens blew an eight-point lead in the fourth quarter to the Kirk-Cousins-led Redskins. The key against Baltimore is obviously to play your backup against them.

LaMichael James might be next week's David Wilson.

I really thought the Cardinals +57.5 were a lock. That Ryan Lindley ever had the job could only be because Ken Whisenhunt had Skeltons in his closet. (my apologies).

What happened to the Packers team that destroyed the Texans in Houston?


By: jnowak2799
On: 12/9/2012 7:19:00 PM
McCarthy actually let Rodgers throw the ball in that Texans game, somehow McCarthy felt the need to feed Starks the ball 20 times a game, Starks' injury is the best thing that could of ever happened for the Packers.

Chan Gaileys reasoning for why C.J. Spiller only got 7 carries on the day, "It was Freds turn." referring to Fred Jackson.......I forgot that this is Pop Warner football and not the NFL. "It was Freds turn." Well Chan Gailey, its Donald Trumps turn, "You're fired." What a joke. The Bills also punted from their opponents 34 yard line for the numerous time this year Sunday, because Chan Gailey believes 50 yard field goals are not common and are risky plays, now I'm done.
By: Mark Stopa
On: 12/9/2012 7:21:00 PM
This is what I had in mind when I traded Brees after Week 3. Eventually, even high volume guys struggle a bit when they're on bad teams. It's human nature to press.
By: hwd23
On: 12/9/2012 8:49:00 PM
I wrote something similar in the blog section. I wish I had your ability to make it readable. What an incredible day of football. So many things happened that just rocked the fantasy world. If you are in the playoffs, and somehow Detroit D is still on wires, run to get them. Then hope whoever has Chicago is out of it.
By: jnowak2799
On: 12/9/2012 10:27:00 PM
Arian Foster has exactly 15 yards receiving 4 weeks in a row, what are his odds to do it for a 5th week in a row?
By: herbilk
On: 12/10/2012 8:52:00 AM
Starks went over 20 carries one time the entire season. Heck, he's only had more than five carries in four games. Alex Green has gone over 20 carries three times and has sucked in each of those games. Green is terrible when he gets more than 15 carries in a game. He's a situational runner.

Rodgers dropped back to pass (attempts+sacks) 35.9 times per game in 2011. He's at 36.9 per game this season. You are simply wrong to say that McCarthy isn't letting Rodgers pass. The Packers are attempting more passes per game this year than they did last season.

The difference between last year and this year doesn't have anything to do with allowing Rodgers to pass more or running the ball less. It has everything to do with what is happening on those pass plays. In 2011 Rodgers had a 9.2 YPA and this year it's 7.5. Last year Rodgers had 62 passes of 20+ yards and 14 of 40+ yards in 15 games. He's at 34 and 7 respectively through 12 games this year.
By: Mark Stopa
On: 12/10/2012 11:28:00 AM
The number of passes Rodgers is throwing isn't as relevant as the pass/run ratio. Undoubtedly, the pass/run ratio was much higher in 2011 than it is this year.
By: herbilk
On: 12/10/2012 11:53:00 AM
Green Bay is passing 56% of the time this season compared to 58% last season. More runs, yes, but nothing earth shattering. It's a difference of about two run plays more per game. I still believe it has more to do with what's happening on those pass plays than any sort of ratio or not calling enough pass plays/too many run plays.
By: herbilk
On: 12/10/2012 12:01:00 PM
Sorry, if you count sacks as pass attempts then it's 60% passing in 2011, 58% in 2012. Still just a two percent difference or two more runs per game.
By: Chris Liss
On: 12/10/2012 4:16:00 PM
The Packers actually threw for a much higher percentage of their yardage last year because they had 9.3 YPA which is unheard of. That gave them fewer attempts than they would have had because it took them fewer to get into the end zone.

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