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Week 1 Observations

It's amazing how much I missed football. I didn't realize it until the full Sunday slate kicked off and then for 15 minutes I was ecstatic.

Until my Survivor Pick, the Steelers, lost their starting center to a torn ACL and shortly thereafter Isaac Redman, whom I started over Eddie Lacy in one league and Rueben Randle in another, fumbled on the five-yard line. Then my No. 1 pick in the $100K NFFC league, Calvin Johnson, got his touchdown reversed, and my No. 1 pick in the NFFC $100K online championship, C.J. Spiller, fumbled and yielded carries to a more-effective Fred Jackson.

It was then I remembered what NFL Sundays are really about: extended stretches of stress and misery, punctuated by rare and isolated bursts of joy.

But at least I had the Giants game to look forward to on Sunday night...

There are at least 10 quarterbacks who are top-five quarterbacks and maybe more. Same with tight ends (h/t Stopa).

Every running back except Adrian Peterson, LeSean McCoy and Reggie Bush is terrible. In fact, through Sunday night, QB Terrelle Pryor led the league in rushing with 112 yards. The only back over 100 was Shane Vereen with 101, who's now out for a few weeks with a broken wrist. Of course, Arian Foster and Ryan Mathews haven't played yet, and McCoy has 180 and counting.

The record in all of sports that will never be broken is most passing yards and TDs by two brothers. Eli and Peyton added 912 yards and 11 TDs to their totals in Week 1.

I'd take Jared Cook over Julius Thomas the rest of the way. Sure, there's enough to go around for everyone in the Denver offense when the QB throws seven TDs. But when he throws 3-4 and 300-350 yards, everyone can't have a big day. Demaryius Thomas and Wes Welker will be the top-two priorities, and Eric Decker isn't going away. Barring injuries to those three, Thomas' ceiling is lower. But Cook is the Rams' only viable red-zone target other than Brian Quick who is the No. 4 WR right now.

Vernon Davis could be a monster. In fact, when Rob Gronkowski gets healthy, Jimmy Graham could be the No. 3 option at the position.

Colin Kaepernick looked like Steve Young Sunday, operating almost exclusively out of the pocket and scrambling when necessary. He's one of six top-3 QBs

Blaine Gabbert was essentially awarded the job this preseason based on what?

Eli Manning's setup could not be better for fantasy purposes. Both Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz are healthy now, Rueben Randle looks like a future star and Brandon Myers is competent at tight end. Stevie Brown (the team's best pass-defending safety) is out for the year, Prince Amukamara (the team's best cover corner) has a concussion and the running game is temporarily dead now that David Wilson is in the doghouse.

Jordy Nelson is a top-10 WR now that he appears healthy.

Tony Romo needs to be downgraded due to a rib injury (apparently he'll play next week) and Dez Bryant's sprained ankle. While Bryant returned to the game, it's much easier to play through an injury before it swells up. It's possible he's out for several weeks.

The Pats can't stretch the field with their current personnel. Kenbrell Thompkins is slow, and Danny Amendola and Julian Edelman are small and not typically dangerous down the field. Aaron Dobson has the size/speed to change that once he gets healthy, and of course, Rob Gronkowski can make plays anywhere.

Without Pouncey, the Steelers offensive line was among the worst in the league. A week of practice will help, but Week 2 in Cincinnati could be ugly. The Steelers also lack red-zone targets with Heath Miller still out.

The Ravens might have hung with Denver had Wes Welker's drop been challenged in the third quarter. Baltimore was winning at that point, and that extra first down to keep the drive alive and go ahead against a winded defense in high altitude was a back breaker. Or maybe the wheels would have come off anyway.

Comments

By: Mark Stopa
On: 9/9/2013 7:48:00 PM
In addition to what you said about Eli, the Giants have no goal line back. Wilson should improve, so the rushing attack should return, but the goal line back isn't walking through that door. That alone should give Eli 3-5 more TDs.
 
By: Chris Liss
On: 9/9/2013 7:50:00 PM
I think Wilson can take that role if he's not fumbling. But yeah, they're not going to power it in there with him three times when they get close.
 
By: Mark Stopa
On: 9/9/2013 8:08:00 PM
The fact there are 10 QBs in the top 5 and 10 TEs in the top 5 shows why every league should start two of each. If everyone can start an elite option at each position even by closing eyes and picking randomly, where's the challenge? I'm going to keep harping on this until the industry changes. It should.
 
By: Sevenx
On: 9/10/2013 8:21:00 AM
How do you guys feel about Russell Wilson the rest of the way out? He seems to have had quite a solid game, just a lack of TD's. Eli or Wilson more valuable?
 
By: bkbounce53
On: 9/10/2013 2:46:00 PM
Do I waste #1 waiver spot on Edelman, I have nicks, shorts, g tate, Ty and thompkins standard scoring? Thank you in advance!
 
By: MAMFinc
On: 9/10/2013 2:58:00 PM
Do I keep David Wilson as my starter knowing Tom Coughlin hates fumbling backs or start someone with less ceiling like Deangelo Williams?
 
By: jnowak2799
On: 9/10/2013 9:03:00 PM
Real or Really fake? Well without a doubt, Chris Liss is just as impressive in real life as he is on the radio. I had the honor Last Friday night to draft alongside Chris Liss in an NFFC event held at the Bellagio in Las Vegas. The best way to describe the way I felt I guess is to say I felt like Daniel-son in the movie Karate Kid in great admiration of my mentor Mister Miyagi aka Chris Liss......I was waxing on and waxing off and Chris Liss was just waxing everyone in this draft. The draft we competed in was a 14 team draft, with a very tough group of drafters. I thought I held my own drafting, we will see............ok, enough butt-kissing, Real or really fake is what I want to talk about, What we saw week 1, will it hold up? Will Jerome Simpson keep on putting up 7 catches for 140 yards week in and week out, or will he be who Jerome Simpson is, the guy that does "FLIPS", Great one week and then invisible for the next 6 weeks, I say invisible. Throw Harry "Houdini" Douglas in that really fake category also, Harry "Houdini" Douglas I promise you will disappear the same way Kevin Ogletree did last year. My whole point about REAL or REALLY FAKE is right now is your opportunity to make "That move" that may lead you to the championship, is the guy real like Alfred Morris real, or is he really fake like Kevin Ogletree? You have to trust history and know the history of these players or just believe or don't believe what you see. I won't bore you anymore.

Really Fake players- Jerome Simpson, Harry Douglas, Brandon Jacobs, and Dallas Clark. (These players suck or are clearly past their prime and despite one opening nice game will probably be a wasted pick-up and not help you win a championship this year.

Real players- Joique Bell RB Detroit(you know Reggie Bush will get injured, its inevitable), Jermaine Kearse WR Seattle(I hate putting stock into pre-season, but now he's doing it in the regular season, he just makes big plays), Marlon Brown WR Baltimore (Looks like the real deal, 3rd option in Baltimore, huge upside), and Why not Julius Thomas TE Denver(obvious), also take a chance on Ace Sanders WR Jax (Lots of Targets week 1, but them targets were from Blaine Gabbert, if Chad Henne starts, Ace could be the Pocket Aces that lead you to a sneaky Championship)

Really though, Meeting Chris Liss in person went even better than I thought it would go, he answered questions, was down to earth, and made me feel like I belonged, and Chris gave us a lesson on how to adapt in a draft when the player you really want gets picked right in front of you. Example I know Chris likes Andrew Luck this year, well Luck got picked, so a few picks Later Chris nabbed Colin Kaepernick and I need to mention he already had Vernon Davis, after week 1 things are looking really nice, for real for real.
 
By: Chris Liss
On: 9/12/2013 8:03:00 PM
Sevenx - like Wilson as much as Eli. Wilson will get rushing stats, but his defense will cost him points because it's too good.
 
By: Chris Liss
On: 9/12/2013 8:03:00 PM
bkbounce - PPR only for Edelman.
 
By: Chris Liss
On: 9/12/2013 8:04:00 PM
MAMFinc - keep Wilson.
 
By: Chris Liss
On: 9/12/2013 8:05:00 PM
Joe - thx, but that's an exaggeration. Happy with my squad, but definitely didn't crush everyone.
 
By: jnowak2799
On: 9/15/2013 6:56:00 PM
My Real and Really fake players were on the money, the point on Joique Bell is spot on, props to me.....and Harry "Houdini" Douglas, your welcome.
 
By: jnowak2799
On: 9/15/2013 7:48:00 PM
Ace Sanders 5 receptions for 64 yards, not too bad.
 

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