Wednesday's Play

Another profitable day yesterday, winning my only play of the Giants over the Brewers, and improving my season record to 13-5, +$808.  Let’s see if I can keep it going today with the following:

Dodgers +104 over Diamondbacks
Bet $150
No team is hotter than the Dodgers, who boast a league best record of 30-13.  They’ve won six straight and eight of their last 10 games, and send Ted Lilly (5-0, 1.79 ERA) out against Joe Saunders (2-3, 3.55).  The Dodgers are 12-2 in Lilly’s last 14 starts, 5-0 in his last five road starts, and 8-0 in his last eight starts against a team with a losing record.  He is aided by an offense that has scored six or more runs in five of his seven starts this season.  Andre Ethier has five hits in 10 at bats with a home run against Saunders.  Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are 5-12 in their last 17 games, 3-14 in their last 17 at home, and 0-5 in their last five vs. a left-handed starter.  One of their hottest hitters, Justin Upton, is only 2 for 25 with six strikeouts versus Lilly, and the Diamondbacks lineup is an abysmal 12 for 61 (.191 average) against him.  Saunders was decent in his last outing, allowing three runs and eight hits in six innings, but gave up 13 runs over 8 1/3 innings while losing his previous two starts.  Against the Dodgers he is 3-6 with a 3.89 ERA in 11 career starts, 2-5 in his last seven, and 0-3 with a 5.24 ERA in four games at home.  The Dodgers have won four of the last five meetings.

Good luck!


By: rkinigson
On: 5/23/2012 7:55:00 AM
Am I missing something? The line on this game has moved from -103 to +113. If that continues I may just have to put additional money down on the Dodgers.
By: Tom Vara
On: 5/23/2012 8:50:00 AM
We are on the same page today. The public is jumping on the Dodgers which sometimes makes me nervous. My only concern with this game is Lilly giving up too many runs early and Saunders getting in one of his grooves.
By: rkinigson
On: 5/23/2012 7:53:00 PM
Dodgers down 5-0 after just three innings. All the work that goes in to making wager decisions appears to be no match for what I will now refer to as the Vara curse. Each time Tom Vara agrees with one of my picks it seems to lose.

Obviously I'm kidding, but I may have to wait until Tom posts his bets before doing the same.

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