The Runaway Cart: Week 16 Predictions
- By: Keith Goldner
- On: 12/21/2011 9:09:00 AM
- View Comments : 3
Houston -6.5 vs Carolina: LOSS
Houston owns the 4th best defense in the league after adjusting for strength of opponents but Carolina made them look silly. I said the game would come down to the Texans forcing turnovers, but Cam Newton was squeaky clean. He is now 0-9 when turning the ball over at least once, yet 5-0 in mistake-free games.
Baltimore -2.5 at San Diego: LOSS
Baltimore is winning games on defense, but the surging Chargers have been producing in their last few games. Philip Rivers has finally turned it around and is putting up the kind of season everyone expects of him.
Week 16 Predictions:
San Francisco -2 at Seattle
San Francisco dominated the Steelers on Monday Night, thanks to a hefty dose of defense and a mistake-free offense. The key matchup will be Marshawn Lynch versus the 49ers defense. San Fran ranks 2nd in the league in opponent-adjusted run defense and have yet to allow a TD on the ground this season. Lynch has 12 TDs in his last 10 games, including at least one touchdown in each game. Might be time to bust out the king size bag of Skittles.
Cincinnati -4 vs Arizona
Once again, I'm picking against Arizona. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me three times, and I'll be marginally perturbed. Don't get me wrong, Cincinnati is a league average team; but, they are fighting for a wildcard spot and the game is in Cincy. Despite their few recent wins, Arizona still has the 4th worst passing offense in the NFC. I have the Bengals favored by 7.
The most accurate weekly projections from numberFire.com based on wall-street style analytics. numberFire outpredicted two of the most trafficked fantasy sites 70% of the time and are 54-55% against the spread over the last 3 seasons.