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Ranting


Can you believe Brian Sabean is the longest tenured GM in baseball? I can’t quite wrap my mind around this. It’s like Nickelback selling the most copies in a year, or “Paranormal Activity” (which was terrible, by the way) killing at the box office – why are we consistently rewarding garbage? I’ve seen some people call his new two-year contract a no-brainer, because the Giants won 88 games this year despite an offense that was in the bottom five in runs scored. Whaatt?! Why do you think the offense sucked? Because Sabean constructed it. You do realize Freddy Sanchez was hurt at the time of last year’s trade, right? This wasn’t bad luck or anything. And how about the Ryan Garko deal? I’ll call it right now: Sabean will give Jason Bay a contract in excess of $60 million. After all, he’s a perfect fit for who Sabean targets: someone coming off (arguably) their career-year, thanks in large part to a hitter’s park during a contract-year. Bay is also more than 30 years old (a huge prerequisite for Sabean) and is one of the two or three worst defensive outfielders in baseball. Jackpot!

I must admit, I’ll miss Steve Phillips on ESPN. It just always fascinated me that a one time general manager for a MLB team with such a high payroll knew so little about baseball. He was always one of my favorite interviews.

It’s safe to say Joe Girardi is a bit of a micromanager. Pinch running for Alex Rodriguez in the ninth inning of a one run game for a guy with five SBs on the year with a lefty on the mound has to go down as one of the bigger head-scratchers I have ever witnessed in a baseball game. Above all, I was rooting for an extra innings game with Freddy Guzman up in a crucial situation rather than ARod.

I know you always hear not to judge spring training stats, but I must admit, I’ve let some performances sway my opinion in fantasy drafts. While I still believe those numbers shouldn’t be totally ignored, there won’t be a better example of why to mostly look past them than Zack Greinke in 2009. Do you realize he allowed 29 runs over 28.1 spring training innings? To put that in perspective, he didn’t allow his 29th run in the regular season until mid-July. It was later revealed Greinke was throwing his changeup almost exclusively in spring training, as he was more concerned with working on a new pitch than he was results. Speaking of Greinke, I’ll give my MLB awards later on in this article.

This may be old, but I still can’t get enough of it. Possibly the best moment of the 2009 baseball season.

I was shocked to learn Brad Lidge has the second most saves in postseason history. I mean, I know the stat hasn’t been around forever, and there haven’t been that many dynasties in baseball, and the wild card is relatively new, but still, Brad Lidge?

I know the general consensus is that while Matt Millen was so obviously an awful GM, he is a good TV analyst. And while this may or may not have been true in the past, he seems pretty brutal to me right now. It’s often cringe worthy, actually. Dude has no clue what he’s talking about.

I understand he doesn’t have any ACLs or whatever, but again, how in the hell did DeJuan Blair fall to the seventh pick of the second round? It’s not luck why teams like the Spurs continue to be good for such long stretches, as they don’t try to get cute or overthink things. Blair is a future star in the league, and it’s laughable how many teams passed him up.

The Cavs are off to a slow start, and Mike Brown obviously needs to get fired. But the one variable with Cleveland this season is that with LeBron James’ impending free agency, don’t be surprised if the Cavs go all out at the trade deadline this year. Expect a much different looking team (with a possible added star) come the second half of the year.

With Tim Donaghy’s latest revelation essentially saying the Kings should have beaten the Lakers in 2002, how am I supposed to feel as someone who lives 60 miles from Arco Arena? Seriously, this story has been UNDERRATED. Officials/refs/umpires get things wrong all the time, but name me one other incident in which after the fact it’s been revealed they did so ON PURPOSE. I’m not the type to dwell on the past, but really, this is a travesty. At minimum, David Stern needs to make it up to me by giving all refs this memo – quit calling so many fouls on Greg Oden! After all, he’s on two of my fantasy teams. It would at least be a step in the right direction for redemption.

Did you know that black widows are responsible for about two deaths per year, while mosquitoes are responsible for about two million deaths per year?

Did you know castmembers from “The Hills” make upwards of $90,000 per episode? Where are all those mosquitoes when we need them?

Did you know I was up 31-3 against the spread last week with the Dolphins. And lost.

Hope you’re watching “Modern Family” and “It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia” these days – easily two of the funniest shows on television.

My favorite part of the year 2009 so far has to be balloon boy. I’m sure that kid is going to grow up to live a perfectly normal and productive life with his upbringing.

Short, definitive, rash conclusions about football: Sidney Rice and Miles Austin will both be ranked as top-10 fantasy WRs next year…The Cardinals’ defense will be a fantasy difference maker over the rest of the season…Chris Wells will go higher than Matt Forte in fantasy drafts next year…If the over/under for total number of losses for the Saints and Colts combined with the amount of wins for the Bucs was 3.5 this year, I’d take the under.

My MLB awards:

AL Cy Young:

1. Zack Greinke
2. Roy Halladay
3. Felix Hernandez
4. Justin Verlander
5. Jon Lester

Greinke is the fairly obvious choice, but Halladay is closer than most think. He faced the tougher schedule (third highest aggregate OPS in MLB), had the superior K:BB ratio (5.94 to 4.75) and the better xFIP (3.24 to 3.36). Still, Greinke’s 203 ERA+ was easily the best in baseball, his K rate was far better than Halladay’s, and he had to deal with the worst defense in the league by a wide margin. 

NL Cy Young:

1. Tim Lincecum
2. Javier Vazquez
3. Chris Carpenter
4. Adam Wainwright
5. Dan Haren

Comments: I’m sure I’ll get criticized for being a homer here, but the stats don’t lie. Lincecum was pretty much better in every conceivable category this year compared to his Cy Young winning campaign last season, and there isn’t exactly a worthy alternative. Timmy’s 10.4 K/9 mark easily led major league baseball, and he also showed improved command. His changeup was the single most effective pitch in all of MLB in 2009, and his ability to limit homers is starting to become a trend rather than fluke. Lincecum held opponents to an MLB-low .561 OPS this year. To put that in perspective, the lowest OPS by a batter (who qualified) this season was Emilio Bonifacio at .611. As for Vazquez, his 2.89 xFIP was actually the best this year, and he dealt with a far inferior defense than the Giants’. Still, he gave up too many homers to take home the hardware. As for Carpenter, despite the modest K rate (6.7/9), he likely would have received my vote if not for his oblique injury. But the fact remains he threw 32.2 fewer innings than Lincecum, which is obviously significant. Wainwright will probably win the award, and while his year was impressive, he was far from the best pitcher in the NL in 2009.

AL MVP

1. Joe Mauer
2. Zack Greinke
3. Ben Zobrist
4. Derek Jeter
5. Roy Halladay

Comments: The easiest pick by far. Mauer finished with the best OPS in the AL by 70 points while playing the toughest position on the field defensively. He led the league in batting average, OBP and slugging percentage. There’s really not even much more to say. I was forced to put two pitchers on this list mainly because of a lack of viable alternatives with hitters. Franklin Gutierrez was a whole lot more valuable than most people probably realize, thanks to some of the best defense from a center fielder you’ll ever see.

NL MVP

1. Albert Pujols
2. Hanley Ramirez
3. Chase Utley
4. Tim Lincecum
5. Troy Tulowitzki

Comments: Pujols is baseball’s best hitter, but it’s worth noting that of the top-five OPSs in the NL this year, all are first baseman. Further, nine of the top-14 OPSs played first base. It’s simply an easy position to find production (unless you’re Brian Sabean). That’s not to take anything from Pujols, who deserves to win because he’s also a fine defender and possibly the best baserunner in the game as well, but Ramirez’s sixth-best OPS (BA heavy, which is more valuable than BB heavy) while playing solid defense at shortstop deserves a ton of credit, especially coming in a pitcher’s park. Utley, meanwhile, not only was productive with the bat, but he was also hands down the best defensive second baseman in baseball.

AL ROY

1. Brett Anderson
2. Andrew Bailey
3. Elvis Andrus
4. Gordon Beckham
5. Nolan Reimold

Comments: Bailey was awesome and one of the best relievers in the game during his rookie season, finishing with a 1.84 ERA and 0.88 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched (a lot for a reliever). He’s deserving, but teammate Anderson was almost as impressive, and he did so as a starter. In fact, Anderson’s xFIP (3.80) ranked in the top-20 in all of baseball – ahead of the likes of CC Sabathia, Clayton Kershaw, John Lackey, Johan Santana and Matt Cain, among many others. And for those who like more traditional stats, Anderson posted a 3.48 ERA and 1.19 WHIP with 86 Ks over 88 innings after the All-Star break. Andrus didn’t embarrass himself as a hitter while going 33-for-39 on SB attempts and playing fantastic defense at shortstop. After that, it gets murky. If you want to argue Rick Porcello, Jeff Neimann and/or Ricky Romero over Beckham or Reimold, I’d understand.

NL ROY

1. J.A. Happ
2. Tommy Hanson
3. Chris Coghlan
4. Andrew McCutchen
5. Garrett Jones

Comments: Hanson had the better component stats and is a far better bet moving forward, but the fact remains Happ matched his ERA while throwing 40 more innings. Coghlan was one of the best hitters in MLB during the second half, but his defense in left field was pretty abysmal. Jones had the highest OPS, and his 21 homers over just 314 at-bats were awfully valuable, but he really only put in about a half season’s work, and teammate McCutchen gets the slight edge because he was a league average defender in center field. But this is as deep of a rookie class as I can remember, as Colby Rasmus was the best defensive center fielder in the league this year. Dexter Fowler was also worthy of consideration, and Casey McGehee posted an .859 OPS. Randy Wells was pretty good as well.

Comments

By: Chris Liss
On: 10/31/2009 9:14:00 PM
I'd give you 3:2 and take over 3.5 on the Colts-Saints-Bucs losses/wins number. Any amount. The Kings and Suns series were travesties. And how much more exciting were those Kings and Suns teams to watch than the Lakers and Spurs? Also, Duncan, Kobe, Shaq, Phil Jackson get huge legacy boosts, while Steve Nash, Chris Webber lose out.
 
By: Kevin Payne
On: 10/31/2009 9:28:00 PM
I'd give the same deal over-3.5 on 2-team losses and one team's wins. Dalton you're mostly on all the time, but this like the Vikes *not* making the playoffs is off. All your awards are pretty much on, except Ben Zobrist-he's a great story, but don't confuse that with MVP awards (Carl Crawford was a better MVP on his onw team without me going outside the box here). Your shizzle is still the bizzle, yo.
 
By: andtinez
On: 10/31/2009 11:25:00 PM
The only reason we're talking about Steve Phillips is because that young boy he got caught with is unattractive.

How the hell does Lidge have that many saves?!

I'm glad someone else sees how bad Mike Brown is as a coach. His Coach of the Year award last year was absurd. His explanation for almost every win or success the team experiences is to throw his hands up and say he doesn't know how to describe what Lebron did. Can we get Gregg Popovich in Cleveland or Lebron in San Antonio so his talent isn't wasted?

The idea that DeJuan Blair is a future star is a bit of exaggeration, no? He's Paul Millsap at best.

Elvis Andrus is my AL ROY because I like his defense and speed more than closing games out (turns out even Fernando Rodney can do it) and Brett Anderson who took the ball every 5th day. Andrus really helped out the young pitching staff of the Rangers with his glove and allowed Michael Young to move to 3rd base.

Can we have more posts like this?
 
By: andtinez
On: 10/31/2009 11:27:00 PM
I should clarify, I meant young man when it comes to Steve Phillips, I don't want anyone to think he's a pedophile. He's just blind.
 
By: jtr5708
On: 11/1/2009 12:37:00 AM
Young man???? I thought that was a manatee.

I agree, more blog posts like this. I enjoyed every bit of it.
 
By: Jason Thornbury
On: 11/1/2009 9:23:00 AM
The NBA ref scandal hasn't been just underrated, it's been ignored. The refs were fixing games! And not for their own benefit, but for the league's! This should be frontpage news EVERYWHERE. For weeks. But David Stern is the most powerful man in the world, so he gets what he wants. Aside from nuclear war, Stern can do anything.
 
By: Donald Trump
On: 11/1/2009 3:20:00 PM
Sabean? Unreal. Really, the longest tenured? That is absurd.
No doubt Lincecum should win the NL Cy. I will be a crime if he doesn't. And I think Grienke, Mauer, and Pujols are all shoe ins.
Do you believe in The Curse of Arod? I do.
 
By: Dalton Del Don
On: 11/2/2009 12:45:00 PM
Liss - The problem with my 3.5 proposition, which I later realized, is Week 17. I could easily see at least one if not two losses by N.O. and Indy while they are resting for the playoffs. I want to stand behind my claim (and didn't take any hits in Week 8, incidentally), but that last week is a problem. Still, talk to me backstage if you want.
 
By: Dalton Del Don
On: 11/2/2009 12:48:00 PM
Kevin - Totally disagree with your Zobrist conclusion. I could not care less about "stories." Zobrist had nearly a 150 point OPS advantage on Crawford! Zobrist was also extremely valuable with the glove:

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=al&qual=y&type=6&season=2009&month=0

(regarding fangraphs' value system, note that Mauer would def. be ahead of Zobrist, who finished #1 in the AL this year, but they don't factor in catcher defense, which is extremely hard to calculate)
 
By: Dalton Del Don
On: 11/2/2009 12:55:00 PM
andtinez - Yes, the Blair proclamation was a tad early as well. But I prefer to make claims like that now, rather than after the fact (assuming, I'm right, of course). If I'm wrong down the road - let me hear it.

I hear you with Andrus vs. Bailey, but Andrus' bat was below average while having the benefit of a hitter's park. That said, a SS with an amazing glove could easily be more valuable than even the best closer. However, I can't get on board with your "every fifth day" thing regarding B. Anderson. Starters are, for the most part, more valuable than position players.

Just look at how the vegas lines change depending on the SPs. Lines would barely move even if Albert Pujols was out for one game.

Put differently, Anderson pitched to roughly 750 plate appearances this season, so despite only starting every fifth game, he was involved in far more ABs than Andrus.
 
By: Dalton Del Don
On: 11/2/2009 12:56:00 PM
Thorn - Don't get me started. It's sickening, really.
 
By: Dalton Del Don
On: 11/2/2009 12:58:00 PM
Donald - I agree, but I would be pretty surprised if Lincecum actually does win this year.
 
By: Chris Liss
On: 11/2/2009 5:39:00 PM
You didn't take any hits in Week 8? Only Indy played a home game in which they were favored by 13. Tampa didn't play, and New Orleans is about to play right now! I hear you about Week 17, but lets lop that off for Indy and New Orleans and move the number to 3. I'll still give you 3:2.
 

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