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Pre-Draft Thoughts and Observations

What's on my mind heading into Thursday's NBA draft:

  • For all the talk about how the Clippers can't screw this one up with Blake Griffin sitting there for them at #1, the reality of the situation is that they certainly can (and will probably find a way to). The Clippers have been nearly as bad when it comes to player development as they have been with evaluating/drafting prospects. Even if they do end up drafting Griffin first overall, Clipper nation shouldn't be breathing a sigh of relief just yet.
  • I am less surprised by the number of trades that went down on Tuesday than I am about the motivations behind them. While salary dumps by the Warriors and Suns on Wednesday were expected to be the norm, we had two teams (Spurs and Wizards) basically shoot for the moon on Tuesday by taking on sizable contracts that basically committed them to pay luxury tax. It's also assumed that the Bucks freed up cap to re-sign Villanueva to an extension, leaving Minnesota as the only team of the four whose primary motivation was to save money.
  • There's been a lot of talk of teams trading up to get the 2nd or 3rd pick since Thabeet isn't a great fit in Memphis and Rubio doesn't fit in all that well in Oklahoma City either. I think the Grizzlies will end up playing their hand with Thabeet while Oklahoma City will deal their pick away. A deal with the T'Wolves makes a lot of sense for the Thunder where they would give up their 3rd pick for the 5th and 18th picks. The Wolves move up to grab Rubio (Telfair can't be relied upon as the solution for them) while the Thunder take James Harden, who is a much better fit for them than Rubio (and a better prospect in my eyes).
  • The Crawford for Law/Claxton trade puts the Warriors in an interesting quandary. Unloading Crawford was largely financial, but part of it had to do with Nellie not wanting any guards who could get in the way of his starting backcourt of Monta/SJax. Management will be pretty happy if they are able to come away with Jordan Hill at 7, but what if he is gone by then? At 7th overall there would be nothing else to choose from but guards, so do the Warriors take a guard anyway? Do they try to trade away the pick?
  • The Knicks need to come away with Steph Curry in this draft or it would be considered a dissapointment. Over the past year, the whole culture of the team has been built around luring LeBron to the Big Apple in 2010. There really isn't a bigger prospect in this class that will pique LeBron's interest than Curry.
  • If the Bucks can land Jonny Flynn at 10th overall, then John Hammond deserves some sort of award for the way he managed to creatively manuever his way out of a terrible financial situation while improving his current roster. Not only will the Bucks have enough money to fend competitors away from nabbing Villanueva in free agency, but they will have also added two solid complimentary players at the PG and PF spots in Flynn and Amir Johnson. Jefferson's departure also allows ample opportunity for their first-round pick last year, Joe Alexander, to develop and show off what he can do.

Comments

By: airjan23
On: 6/25/2009 5:46:00 AM
Justin, agree on the Clippers, screw-up and that team go hand in hand. As a Knicks fan, would love Curry here. A) he really wants to be here and B) has been a while since we had a guard that could consistently knock down open jumpers. For the Bulls, Blair seemed to be the choice, but have heard lots of rumblings of Lawson at 16 and Ellington at 26, if they don't move up to the Nets pick at 11.
 
By: kevinccp
On: 6/25/2009 6:02:00 AM
Good points Justin. Something smaller which didn't make sense to me-The Blazers trading #24, #56 and next year's worse second rounder to get #22 this year. Seems odd to trade up for that spot; it's not trading #4 to get #2.

I'm not sold on Thabeet. First, he's not going to make any type of significant impact in the next two, maybe three years. I see the potential, but it's almost a crapshoot to see how he pans out playing against men and not boys.
 
By: Justin Phan
On: 6/25/2009 6:12:00 AM
Lawson might not even fall to 16. Philly really has their eye set on him as Andre Miller's replacement, so they've been talking to Charlotte about dealing away Dalembert and the 17th pick for the 12th pick, Vlad Rad, and Nazr Mohammed.
 
By: Justin Phan
On: 6/25/2009 6:20:00 AM
kev - Portland and Sacramento are both pretty much looking at the same positional needs (PG and SF), which means there has to be significant overlap between the players that they are considering. 89.85% of second rounders over the past 20 draft classes have turned out to be scrub-level players, so they really aren't losing much value there by giving away the later picks.
 
By: Chris Morgan
On: 6/25/2009 8:39:00 AM
I think Thabeet WILL make a significant impact in his first two, three seasons, but only on the defensive side of the ball. He will be an albatross on offense for a long while, if not his entire career. I wouldn't take him as high as he is going to go.

I'm concerned about what the Pistons are going to do. They are trying to rework the team into being a contender again right away, but the names I keep hearing are Earl Clark and Austin Daye. I could like with Clark, if he puts it together he could be great, but if Detroit takes Daye, I will feel sad inside.
 
By: kennruby
On: 6/25/2009 9:44:00 AM
Thabeet is the most interesting player in the draft to me. Can he be a Mutombo? He's a sick shotblocker and is a huge guy. If he gets any kind of offensive skill, he could be a force in the NBA.
 
By: Charlie Zegers
On: 6/25/2009 9:48:00 AM
ESPN reported that Portland wants Omri Cassipi, and thinks the Kings would take him at #23. Personally, I think Cassipi is gone before then -- he seems like a good fit for Utah at #20.
 

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