Picks, 4/19/10

• By: Joe Sheehan
• On: 4/19/2010 2:26:00 PM

Related: Joe Sheehan Los Angeles Angels Boston Red Sox Chicago White Sox Chicago Cubs Cleveland Indians Detroit Tigers Houston Astros Kansas City Royals Milwaukee Brewers New York Yankees New York Mets Tampa Bay Rays Texas Rangers Toronto Blue Jays Washington Nationals MLB 



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Getting in and out quickly today, much like John Lackey:

Texas/New York over 9.0 (-105). Like Saturday, six runs in the first three innings. Unlike Saturday, just one the rest of the way. Time to take a good long look at the Rangers' offense; you can't blame the loss of Ian Kinsler, as Joaquin Arias has played out of his mind. As currently constituted, they're going to need a bat from inside--Justin Smoak, Max Ramirez--or out.

Chicago (AL) -102. Fausto Carmona put up another quality start, this time even striking out more men than he walked. The Indians pounded Gavin Floyd in support of him.

Tampa Bay +128. Matt Garza for the win.

Milwaukee/Washington over 9.5 (-105). This one was in with one out in the top of the first, on its way to 18 runs. Would that everything were so easy.

Houston +175. The Astros were shut out into the eighth, then scored in that inning and the next two to squeeze out a win.

Today:

New York (NL) +119, one unit. The Cubs and Randy Wells aren't really good enough to be road favorites behind their #4 starter against a comparable team. The Mets aren't very good, but they represent value here even if they probably won't get to bat against Tyler Colvin and Jeff Baker.

Torontp -114, one unit. Brandon Morrow is better than he has looked so far, and even if he's not, this is just north of even money against the Royals, a team that made Dontrelle Willis look viable twice in one week.

Los Angeles (AL) -176, 1.5 units. You won't see me on a line this big very often. Today, however, it represents an underlay against Willis, who doesn't have anywhere near the command necessary to pitch in a major-league rotation.