Picks, 4/18/10

If there's any pattern developing, it's that the more games I pick, the better I do. Then again, small sample size.

Houston +131. Roy Oswalt threw seven shutout innings and the Astros scored four runs. That works.

Texas/New York (AL) over 9.5 (-120). The game was 7-0 through four innings, but I needed a three-run shot in the eighth to just squeak over the number. Scott Feldman didn't pitch as badly as he line looked; he had command issues, but a number of the hits he allowed were cheap.

New York (NL) -105. As expected, Johan Santana pitched well and the Mets won.

Los Angeles (NL) +150. Charlie Haeger had no command of his knuckleball, and got little support from his defense. This actually could have been uglier--the Giants ran themselves out of an inning in the first.

Cleveland +111. Jake Peavy pitched better than expected and the game was tied in the eighth when the Indians scored off Matt Thornton for the win.

Florida -103. Man, I should have hit this harder. The Marlins scored five in the first and Ricky Nolasco had a shutout through 26 outs. The time to get Nolasco at good numbers may be nearing its end.


Texas/New York (AL) over 9.0 (-105), two units. It's still a good hitters' park, Rich Harden is facing a patient lineup, Andy Pettitte is facing power. Both teams are good defensively, which may be holding the number down.

Chicago (AL) -102, two units. I could go higher. Fausto Carmona has allowed 10 walks, struck out five men and given up the lowest BABIP in baseball. And he's favored.

Tampa Bay +128, one unit. Just a play on Matt Garza, with the caveat that his two strong starts have come against  the Orioles.

Milwaukee/Washington over 9.5 (-105), one unit. Fading Doug Davis, Jason Marquis, two bad bullpens and two mediocre defenses.

Houston +175, .5 units. Note the decimal. I can't quit Wandy.



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