ROTOWIRE.COM NFL MLB / Minors NBA NHL GOLF RACING    COMMUNITY FORUMS PODCASTS MYROTOWIRE ASK AN EXPERT GAMES

NBA Preseason Notes


O.J. Mayo: The New Jason Terry In Big D -- With Dirk Nowitzki (knee) sitting out Monday's preseason game against the Rockets, Mayo assumed the role of the Mavericks' primary scorer. He finished the night with 20 points (7-of-12 FG, 3-of-6 3Pt, 3-of-4 FT) in under 24 minutes while working as Dallas's starting shooting guard. Dallas brought in Mayo this past offseason after losing Jason Terry to the Celtics. Despite starting the first three preseason games, it's still uncertain if Mayo will start or be asked to play the same sixth man role Terry held for the past eight seasons. Mayo was deployed as the Grizzlies sixth man with mixed results this past season, but as we've seen with Terry over the years, Dallas likes to rely more heavily on their sixth man than other teams. Regardless of Mayo's role as starter or reserve, the big takeaway is he'll be leaned on to be the Mavericks' No. 2 offensive option. Mayo is coming off a couple of somewhat disappointing campaigns, but he should be given a chance in Dallas to carry a bigger share of the scoring load and live up to the potential he showed during his first two seasons in Memphis.

Jae Crowder: Deep Keeper League Flier? -- Crowder was the other big performer in Dallas's preseason win on Monday night, finishing with 20 points, five rebounds, four treys and two steals in 15 minutes off the bench. The second-round pick didn't get much love on draft day, and he his name is rarely bandied about in fantasy circles, but he could end up holding surprise value in deep keeper leagues. By deep keeper leagues, I mean the type that allows you to draft and stash NBADL type players. While he doesn't have prototypical size (6-6, 235) for a forward, it's hard to argue with the on-the-court production from last year's Big East Player of the Year. Color me, intrigued. I'll be keeping an eye on Crowder all season.

Brook Lopez: Rediscovers What It Feels Like To Haul In a Rebound -- Aside from his health issues, the biggest gripe with Lopez the past couple seasons has been his lack of rebounding. I remain at a loss how one of the most talented young seven-footers in the league pull down under six boards per game over his past 87 appearances. After all, this is a guy who boarded decently in college and pulled down 8+ boards in each of his first two professional seasons. Well, whatever ailed Lopez the past two seasons might have passed, as he's averaging 10 rebounds through his first two preseason appearances, and that's in only 27 mpg. If Lopez can carryover those improvements into the regular season, he could easily return to being the potential top-25 player we saw during his sophomore campaign.

Spencer Hawes: The Sixers Version of Pau Gasol? -- First and foremost, we need to establish that Hawes is nowhere near as talented as Pau Gasol, who has been one of the better big man in the NBA for the past 12 seasons. That said, it's still intriguing to hear Sixers coach Doug Collins say he wants to use Hawes in a "Gasol-type" role. The role that Collins is referring to is a big man who can excel on the perimeter due to his shooting and passing ability. Hawes played the role effectively Monday night, finishing with 17 points, eight rebounds and four assists in 18 minutes. While it's asking a lot for Hawes to match Gasol's 3.7 apg from last year (which is elite for a big man), we have seen the Sixers' seven-footer display his passing ability before, including a near triple-double effort (10 points, 14 rebounds, nine dimes) in the season opener last year. Hawes was already an intriguing fantasy option this season, but he deserves even more attention given the way Collins plans to utilize him this year.

Damian Lillard: Your 2012-13 NBA Rookie of the Year -- Yes, the Unibrow is going to be great for what will likely be a much-improved Hornets squad this year, but Lillard is my favorite to win ROY and make the biggest fantasy impact of the 2012 draft class. He continued his solid preseason on Monday night, finishing with 20 points, four three-pointers, three assists and a steal in 28 minutes. That pushes his preseason averages to 16.3 points, 5.0 assists and 2.3 treys through three contests. We already know that Lillard will be the Blazers' starting point guard this season, and as we've seen with rookie floor generals in the recent past (Derrick Rose, Russell Westbrook, Kyrie Irving, John Wall), immediate success can be had when the player is talented and the team is committed to their development. Lillard might not be coming into the league with as much hype as some of his predecessors, but I believe the upside is there for him to match the year-one production seen from the likes of Rose, Wall or Irving.

Comments

By: nayfel
On: 10/16/2012 11:34:00 AM
Lillard seems to be in a great position to succeed. Its always a little risky relying on rookie point guards as its rare for a guy who's not destined to be a star, produce as a rookie. He clearly though has the mindset to score and should be interesting how he leads in close games. I can't think of a better big man star alpha dog than Aldridge for a starting rookie point guard to play with.
 
By: nayfel
On: 10/16/2012 11:40:00 AM
Speaking of Gasol, with Nash's arrival, should we expect Gasol's assists to drop to a more reasonable level for a big man? Gasol hasn't played with a true distributor and facilitator in his Lakers days and was always expected to help initiate offense from the high and mid post positions. With Nash dominating the ball, will Gasol be in more scoring positions once he receives the ball? Also, how will Nash's ball control effect Kobe and how he relates to his teammates when Nash sits? Will Kobe ball control or will he allow others like Gasol to work the team offense?

I think with all the surrounding questions, gasol's value should be lowered from previous years. I have no doubt that he will play very well and even put up some big scoring games as he will be able to beat up on the defense's attention to Howard/Kobe/Nash. However, I am not as confident that it will bear out statistically as much as it has in prior years.
 
By: Shannon McKeown
On: 10/16/2012 2:09:00 PM
I do expect Gasol's assist totals to drop with Nash around. Gasol should still offer a couple of dimes per game, though. I'm not as high on Gasol as others this year, as I do believe the additions of Nash and Howard will hurt his value some. That said, Gasol's biggest fantasy strength is his across-the-board production and effectiveness. Even if we see a drop in scoring, rebounding and assists, he'll still post great percentages while blocking some shots, which is part of what always put him in the top-15. Basically, I expect him drop from that top-15 spot and be more of a top-30 guy. Maybe something similar to Bosh's dip in production after he joined Miami.
 
By: nayfel
On: 10/16/2012 5:54:00 PM
Agreed. At worst, he is a better all-around contributor than almost all big men, in the same vein that KG has taken his production, statistically. nothing that blows you away but good production across the board coupled with excellent %s, which drive the value into the borderline elite.
 
By: Zenguerrilla
On: 10/16/2012 8:32:00 PM
http://www.beyondthebets.com/2013-nba-rookie-of-the-year-odds-top-picks-win-about-half-the-time-and-hornets-davis-favored/

Lilard +1800 for ROY

I'm down for some of that!!!
 
By: Shannon McKeown
On: 10/17/2012 4:59:00 AM
I have to imagine that Lillard has moved up quite a bit since that June post. But, yeah, I would be all over +1800.
 
By: Zenguerrilla
On: 10/18/2012 6:29:00 PM
Found Lilard at 11/2 at Bovada. Snooze you lose I guess....
 

Leave a comment

Commenting is restricted to registered users only. Please register or login now to submit a comment.

Tell Someone

  • Digg it
  • submit to reddit reddit
  • Add to Mixx!

Recent Favorites

Do Analytics Take the Fun Out of Sports?
Apparently that was the topic of one of the presentations at the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference in Boston last week. The presenter, Yale's Edward Tufte, opined:

Don't let people tell you analytics are reductionist and take the joy out of sports. They mostly just take the stupidity out of sports.

Is he right?

RotoWire's AL LABR Squad
The 2014 AL LABR auction went down at the Arizona Republic offices in downtown Phoenix Saturday night. It's a 12-team, 5 x 5, AL-only league with 2 C, 1 1B, 1 2B. 1 3B, 1 SS, 1 CI, 1 MI, 5 OF, 1 U and 9 pitchers. Everyone has $260 to spend.
The Problem With Drafting Billy Hamilton
Billy Hamilton went for $28 in the NL LABR auction this past weekend. I discussed this with a fellow writer who participates in Tout Wars with me later this month and we discussed the problem with investing heavily into Hamilton.
Payne's Daily Fantasy Basketball Experiment
Let's see if I can make any money doing daily fantasy hoops.
My 12-Team NFBC RotoWire Online Championship Team
I drafted out of the 11-hole for the "Beat Chris Liss" league. I had done a fair amount of research on optimal roster construction from that slot, and I decided I'd go hitter in the first round, three pitchers in 2-4 and then hitting for the next 10 rounds or so before filling in with upside pitchers late. Of course, few battle plans survive the actual war. Here are the results:

RSS Feeds