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MLB Notes

There have been a lot of rookies who have failed to impress this year, but Colby Rasmus isn’t one of them. His .772 OPS doesn’t jump out, and his .114/.220/.182 line against southpaws is an abomination, but Rasmus is hitting .358 in June, and his defense in center field has been the absolute best in baseball (30.1 UZR/150). Moreover, he recorded 74 steals with an 81% success rate over four abbreviated seasons in the minors, so more activity on the basepaths should be expected (he has just one steal this season). Better plate discipline is a must, but Rasmus looks like a keeper.

Troy Tulowitzki has been a star during June, posting a 1.146 OPS with five homers and five steals over 18 games. After some trepidation with a slow start following last season’s disaster, it’s clear Tulow’s true skill resembles the player he was back in 2007. His walk rate has skyrocketed, and despite a terrible 53% success rate throughout his career, his nine steals in 2009 already represent a career-high. With Coors Field aiding him and an obvious green light on the basepaths, it wouldn’t be a stretch to call him the second most valuable fantasy shortstop.

I like playing golf, but I’m one of those spectators who only pays attention during the majors. But this is pretty impressive.

While he’s suffered a couple of minor injuries in the process, Khalil Greene has hit three homers over his first three starts since rejoining St. Louis. Notably, he’s also yet to strike out since returning from his bout with anxiety. His absence was short enough to question whether the issue has been truly solved, but judging from comments, it seems his frame of mind is finally in the right place. And there’s absolutely a spot at third base for him. Remember, Greene hit 27 homers with 97 RBI just two seasons ago while playing half his games in Petco Park, and with a .226 BABIP this year, there’s room for plenty of improvement from here on out. There’s actually a decent amount of upside, and there’s no way he shouldn’t be owned in any league that isn’t extremely shallow.

I just don’t understand why the Celtics are shopping Rajon Rondo – and make no mistake, they are. Even Danny Ainge didn’t deny this Tuesday, only arguing against the reason WHY he was (Rondo showed up late to a playoff game, etc.). Am I missing something here? It’s not a stretch to call Rondo one of the best young players in the NBA or the most valuable commodity on Boston’s current roster…As someone who lives 90 miles from Sacramento, the Kings BETTER not pass on Ricky Rubio.

Elijah Dukes has to be one of the worst base runners I’ve ever seen. He’s a stellar 2-for-9 during SB attempts this season. And he’s not any better from station to station either.

Over 59 at-bats from the right side in 2009, Randy Winn has posted a .102/.115/.136 line – he had a .934 and an .812 OPS from that side during each of the past two seasons, respectively.

Sticking with my beloved Giants – and this may only interest SF fans and NL-only players – but I’ve read a lot of misinformation recently regarding their infield alignment. Let me be clear, the team could definitely upgrade, but based on the current roster, the best lineup features Travis Ishikawa at first base. The only reason he was benched for a 10-game stretch earlier this month is because Pablo Sandoval, the team’s best hitter by far, had to move to 1B because he was hurt and couldn’t make the throws from 3B. Well, he’s healthy now and back to the hot corner, and Ishikawa, who currently has an MLB-best 25.0 UZR/150 rating at first base and slugged seven homers during spring training, has hit three long balls over the past four games. Ishikawa is no star, but he can be useful despite the terrible April, and Juan Uribe should never be in the lineup at his expense.

Not to go too overboard on SF news, but it looks like there’s a real chance Madison Bumgarner will be pitching for the Giants this season. Still, those in redraft leagues shouldn’t feel the need to roster him right now, as his recent performance (12:6 K:BB ratio over the past 20 innings) suggests the learning curve remains fairly steep.  

Howie Kendrick has hit .333/.385/.556 with a homer and two steals over nine games since getting sent down to the minors, so he needs to be picked up if any impatient owner dropped him.

During Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN, Steve Phillips had this to say: “Juan Pierre is a difference maker in this lineup. They are different with him in the lineup.” And he was absolutely correct – they are worse.

So I’ve tried to trade for Alex Rodriguez in a couple of my leagues to no avail. He’s actually a pretty interesting case. On one hand, he’s an excellent buy-low target, entering Tuesday batting .153 in June and with a .198 BABIP on the season. And with his recent benching for “rest” in the news, including the fact he’ll sit at least once a week from here to the All-Star break, his owners may be willing to move him. Rodriguez was coming off a big May and is now playing in the most HR-friendly park in the majors, so he could be a monster from here on out. However, as Tom Verducci recently noted, ARod has hit just .246 since he turned 33 last July 27. Over that span his OPS is .880 (compared to .969 beforehand). He’s also stolen just five bases over those 96 games. And the hip is a pretty important part of hitting, so he definitely carries risk. Usually I make a claim, then back it up by numbers, but that isn’t always applicable. To me, Rodriguez just FEELS like someone who could go nuts from here on out.

Comments

By: Mark Stopa
On: 6/23/2009 8:39:00 PM
I wrote about ARod in the Barometer, which will get posted any time now. ARod's AVG and SLG are all down, but it seems to me to be solely a result of a ridiculously low BABIP. His HR and doubles pace all seem normal, so once his luck turns around, he should be just fine.
 
By: billgoofnow
On: 6/23/2009 9:34:00 PM
Lincecum looked fantastic in his cg win tonight.... Can I please have 3 more months of those the rest of 2009?

You make me sad with your bumgarner prediction - I just moved him in my nl only home league to make a push to become the first ever repeat champ... Bumgarner, sandoval and Fred Lewis for manny and mccann.

Matt lindstrom another ugly outing... He's weird... When he is in there with a 1-run lead he's pretty money... In any other situation he gets wrecked...

Strasburg to japan anyone?
 
By: andtinez
On: 6/23/2009 9:43:00 PM
Those other owners must like Kate Hudson and honestly who can blame them. From Bride Wars to How to Lose a Guy in 10 days, I'd want to keep a player with that sort of female report. Jeter has been linked to some of the hottest women, but A-Rod must know what he's doing. Screw the money and stats, Matthew Berry wishes he was half the man that A-Rod is.

A-Rod will go nuts, it's just a matter if Hudson goes nuts first. What I wouldn't do for her in my fantasy Kurt Russell league.
 
By: Scott Pianowski
On: 6/23/2009 10:12:00 PM
Here's the thing though, Mark - guys in major batting slumps are going to have crummy BABIPs. That's how it works. As useful as the stat can be in some contexts, I think it's too easy to give anyone a pass just because their BABIP is on the low side.

A-Rod being out late shouldn't be an issue, though it is interesting to note who he was with (Penny Lane broke up with Russell Hammond, I take it). Ballplayers don't retire to their room at 11 pm and read the bible, sorry kids. Ozzie Nelson at home, Ozzie Osbourne on the road.

Many moons ago an MLB player was asked what percentage of players are faithful to their wives. The answer: "Tommy John."
 
By: Dalton Del Don
On: 6/23/2009 10:22:00 PM
billgoofnow - Why do I make you sad tho about MadBum? Because I said he'll be called up this year? Again, I think he'll struggle if called upon right now. Personally, I think SF should wait until 2010. And I like that trade you made...Strasburg to Japan, although highly unlikely, is def. an option. What would the bids reach next year if that happens?
 
By: Dalton Del Don
On: 6/23/2009 10:23:00 PM
Pianow - Agree about what you say with BABIP. And that Kate Hudson out late "story" was a joke. How silly.
 
By: Dalton Del Don
On: 6/23/2009 10:24:00 PM
Also, let it be known Tulow hit two more homers tonight after I wrote this. Normally I jinx the player the other way.
 
By: billgoofnow
On: 6/24/2009 2:41:00 AM
Yeah - he probably would struggle a bit since he isn't even 20. Geeesh but yeah the notion that he'd make the bigs this year made me sad :) it was tough to trade him but we can only keep 3 minor leaguers and I have strasburg, Wallace and Morrison so I flipped bum to try and win it all

Kershaw seems like a good parallel comp for bumgarner...

Strasburg would top matsusaka money I would think.
 
By: Mark Stopa
On: 6/24/2009 5:39:00 AM
OK, then explain - apart from BABIP, how is ARod struggling? Show/tell me something tangible.
 
By: Chris Liss
On: 6/24/2009 10:40:00 AM
I'd put Jeter and Rollins ahead of Tulowitzki, too. Jeter's a monster this year.
 
By: nayfel
On: 6/24/2009 10:43:00 AM
I know it's not tangible but if you've watched Arod for the last 3 weeks, you've seen plenty of weak grounder to SS. I own him, like him, wish he would do well but over the last month he has looked very weak at the plate. again, there's no stat there but my scouts eye. It hasn't been hard to notice.
 
By: Dalton Del Don
On: 6/24/2009 10:51:00 AM
billgoofnow - Kershaw is pretty much a perfect comp for Bumgarner. At least last year's version of Kershaw. He'll probably struggle with command, yet he'll be so tough to hit, a decent ERA could be in store. Bumgarner is just so young and inexperienced still. I wouldn't rush him, personally.
 
By: Dalton Del Don
On: 6/24/2009 10:52:00 AM
Stopa - It's a good question, it really is. I guess since hitters do have control of their BABIP, maybe it's easier to point to the hip being an issue. But again, I'd be targeting him as well.
 
By: Dalton Del Don
On: 6/24/2009 10:53:00 AM
Liss - I strongly considered Jeter when I said Tulow at #2, so I have no problem there. And I do expect Rollins to bounce back. I guess it depends on team need, b/c there's no way either of those two come even close to Tulow's power.
 
By: Chris Liss
On: 6/24/2009 11:09:00 AM
I think they come close. Jeter's got nine HRs, and he's in that bandbox. Rollins could hit for power, too in the second half. Unless Tulowitzki is now a 35 HR guy, it should only be 5 HR difference the rest of the way.
 

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