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Early Second Base ADP

Moving right along with our look at early ADP numbers, it’s time to take a look at the keystone. In a nutshell, second base has traditionally been a thin position in fantasy. We’ve seen a handful of power guys, and by that I mean in the 20-30 homer range, and a few speedsters make their way through the ranks over the years, but once you’ve moved past the top five or six guys, the field sort of blends together into one big mediocre blur.

Whether their league roster requirements include a middle infielder or not, fantasy owners who subscribe to the belief of position scarcity will jump on a top second baseman fairly early for fear they will be saddled with some light-hitting batting average drain who tends to be more a liability than anything else. They’re not really over-reaching for the players, but unless you’re landing someone like a Robinson Cano or a Jason Kipnis, someone whose end-of-year statistics give you a clear-cut advantage, it might just benefit you more to get bigger totals at another spot rather that good-but-not-great numbers here.  But that’s been years past. Perhaps this year things will be different?

Second Basemen ADP – Top 50

Rank Player Team Avg Pick Min Pick Max Pick
1 Robinson Cano Sea 11.19 4 78
2 Jason Kipnis Cle 22.00 9 44
3 Dustin Pedroia Bos 33.72 21 62
4 Matt Carpenter StL 48.41 21 73
5 Ian Kinsler Det 66.41 44 214
6 Ben Zobrist TB 77.69 59 166
7 Jose Altuve Hou 89.75 52 124
8 Daniel Murphy NYM 101.41 76 127
9 Jedd Gyorko SD 102.66 72 126
10 Brandon Phillips Cin 104.72 52 252
11 Aaron Hill Ari 112.47 87 266
12 Chase Utley Phi 143.88 104 267
13 Howie Kendrick LAA 169.41 125 285
14 Jurickson Profar Tex 174.34 120 284
15 Brian Dozier Min 189.34 163 252
16 Neil Walker Pit 213.59 158 293
17 Anthony Rendon Was 223.75 182 276
18 Kolten Wong StL 269.44 214 327
19 Alexander Guerrero LAD 269.63 174 342
20 Omar Infante KC 270.47 201 353
21 Emilio Bonifacio KC 292.63 162 422
22 Josh Rutledge Col 314.66 239 401
23 Dustin Ackley Sea 329.56 222 420
24 Scooter Gennett Mil 337.06 253 454
25 Nick Franklin Sea 337.81 220 470
26 DJ LeMahieu Col 356.81 223 432
27 Dan Uggla Atl 366.97 118 461
28 Marco Scutaro SF 384.42 269 505
29 Gordon Beckham CWS 405.75 319 492
30 Rickie Weeks Mil 412.55 263 520
31 Brian Roberts NYY 441.48 337 592
32 Rafael Furcal Mia 452.68 358 703
33 Jonathan Schoop Bal 493.77 382 580
34 Danny Espinosa Was 521.10 425 619
35 Ryan Flaherty Bal 527.23 379 660
36 Daniel Descalso StL 530.93 438 621
37 Tommy La Stella Atl 534.69 310 695
38 Maicer Izturis Tor 538.45 462 620
39 Jemile Weeks Bal 550.40 419 711
40 Mark Ellis StL 550.57 395 702
41 Eric Sogard Oak 560.71 465 671
42 Darwin Barney ChC 588.71 458 747
43 Arismendy Alcantara ChC 602.43 427 739
44 Donovan Solano Mia 620.81 487 747
45 Grant Green LAA 628.29 524 727
46 Derek Dietrich Mia 628.30 508 749
47 Elliot Johnson Atl 628.91 482 747
48 Delino Deshields Jr. Hou 629.29 528 728
49 Skip Schumaker Cin 632.96 548 749
50 Freddy Galvis Phi 642.76 592 711

Nope. Same ol’ same ol’ here at second. You’re looking at roughly one second baseman per round until the first seven are off the board, then a quick four for the panicky owners who suddenly realize just how thin the position really is and think they need to act immediately, and then the rest who are strewn about throughout the middle to late rounds. What we do see here though is a more prominent view of the transition from old to young. A few names we’re used to seeing atop the rankings have dropped further this season while some young, fresh faces steadily climb. The landscape at the position looks like it could have some more dramatic changes within a year or two, so perhaps waiting on the position for a young up-and-comer is best for you keeper league owners.

Now here are a few whose ADP bears monitoring this spring…

Matt Carpenter, STL – There’s obviously plenty to love about Carpenter, but in truth, his greatest value lies in his multi-position eligibility. With 42 games played at third last season, he retains that aspect of his allure this year, though he’s obviously a much better value at second than he is at third. But given his numbers and the fact that he’s 28-years old and not likely to produce much more than what he gave you last year, is his eligibility at the hot corner that big a selling point? Big enough to warrant him going in the fourth round in your draft? I’m not so sure.

Ian Kinsler, DET – Talk about rats abandoning the ship; Kinsler has lost a tremendous amount of his fantasy appeal already. Between his age, a statistical decline, and a trade away from hitter-friendly Arlington to pitcher-friendly Comerica Park, he’s no longer the top choice for those looking to fill the position early. He’s still the fifth one off the board in the NFBC, but his 66.41 ADP is probably the lowest it’s been for him. The name recognition should keep him right there on the edge of the top five, but a slow spring could also cause owners to panic

Jedd Gyorko, SD – With 15 home runs from August 1 through the end of the season last year, the second-year second-sacker opens this year’s ADP inside the top 10 at the position. After landing the starting job to open the year, Gyorko got off to a slow start, batting .247 with no home runs over the first month, but started to turn his season around with six home runs and a .3030 MAY. A groin injury may have interrupted his season, but once that power returned to close out the year, you knew he was suddenly everyone’s favorite. With a strong spring, his ADP could creep closer to the top five, and while I’m a fan, it still might be more telling about the position on the whole than Gyorko’s talent level.

Anthony Rendon, WAS – Based on what many are saying, this has all the earmarks of being one of those trendy picks where over-eager fantasy owners ruin the value of a player because they take him too early. Right now, his 223.75 ADP might be a little on the conservative side, but probably closer to where he should go in most drafts than he’ll potentially end up. Discussing his actual skill set at this time now is actually irrelevant because even if I were to say that he could be a huge bust, which I won’t, those who love him with speak louder through his rising ADP.

Alexander Guerrero, LAD – The Cuban import is a relative unknown still, but after people learn that he posted a .290/.402/.576 slash line and walked more than he struck out last season in the Cuban league, he’ll start to become more of a household name and see his ADP climb up. It won’t climb soon though as he is still not guaranteed a job coming out of spring training. He still has to earn the spot. With a strong spring and an announcement that he is starting at second for the Dodgers, he may see a slight spike in his ADP numbers, but he’s still more of a late-round flier than someone you want to fully trust as your starting second baseman.

Scooter Gennett, MIL – I’m not sure if my inclusion here is because I truly believe in Gennett or if I just hate Rickie Weeks that much. Gennett has very light power, despite last year’s .155 ISO showing, and light speed as well, so aside from the potential of a decent average, there’s not much to him. Still, he’s a better option than Weeks who continues to disappoint fantasy owners year after year. Gennett’s ADP will only rise with word of a starting job. Until that comes, he’s best left to the waiver wire.

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Howard Bender has been covering fantasy sports for nearly two decades on a variety of web sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @rotobuzzguy or email him directly at rotobuzzguy@gmail.com

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