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Early 2010 NFL Mock Draft

RotoWire staff and colleagues got together today at Mock Draft Central for a very early NFL draft. Standard scoring, 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 FLEX, 1 TE, 1 K, 1 D. Here are the results:

Zach Sundelius Shannon McKeown Dalton Del Don Kevin Payne Herb Ilk Mike Salfino
Chris Johnson Adrian Peterson Maurice Jones-Drew Ray Rice Andre Johnson Aaron Rodgers
Ryan Grant Chris Wells Miles Austin Sidney Rice Shonn Greene Pierre Thomas
DeSean Jackson Roddy White Jerome Harrison Greg Jennings Steve Slaton Braylon Edwards
Matt Schaub Dallas Clark Vernon Davis Steve Smith (NYG) Pierre Garcon Antonio Gates
Chad Ochocinco Philip Rivers Hakeem Nicks Tom Brady Tony Gonzalez Michael Crabtree
Donald Driver T.J Houshmandzadeh Brandon Jacobs Greg Olsen CJ Spiller Darren Sproles
Thomas Jones Justin Forsett Jeremy Maclin James Davis Donald Brown Ahmad Bradshaw
Tim Hightower Clinton Portis Eli Manning Johnathan Dwyer Lee Evans LeSean McCoy
Jerricho Cotchery Bernard Berrian Matt Ryan Marshawn Lynch Antonio Bryant Mike Wallace
Brent Celek Golden Tate Wes Welker Jay Cutler Dexter McCluster Santana Moss
Davone Bess Mohamed Massaquoi Ryan Matthews New York Jets Josh Freeman Tashard Choice
San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens New York Giants Chaz Schilens Dallas Cowboys Pittsburgh Steelers
Garrett Hartley Rob Bironas Mason Crosby Ryan Longwell Derrick Mason Jay Feely

Jeff Stotts Derek VanRiper Dan Roemhild Chris Liss Peter Schoenke Scott Pianowski
Drew Brees Michael Turner Frank Gore Rashard Mendenhall Randy Moss Jamaal Charles
DeAngelo Williams Calvin Johnson Vincent Jackson Steven Jackson Larry Fitzgerald Reggie Wayne
Cedric Benson Brandon Marshall Peyton Manning Marques Colston Matt Forte Steve Smith (Car)
Anquan Boldin Knowshon Moreno Jermichael Finley Jonathan Stewart Marion Barber Santonio Holmes
Ronnie Brown Fred Jackson LaDainian Tomlinson Mike Sims-Walker Jason Witten Tony Romo
Hines Ward Percy Harvin Dwayne Bowe Robert Meachem Joseph Addai Felix Jones
Owen Daniels Darren McFadden Reggie Bush Terrell Owens Julian Edelman Cadillac Williams
Austin Collie Donovan McNabb Kenny Britt Devin Aromashodu Jahvid Best Dez Bryant
Ricky Williams Steve Breaston Roy Williams Ben Roethlisberger Joe Flacco Anthony Gonzalez
Kevin Walter Brian Westbrook Leon Washington Michael Bush Donnie Avery Chris Cooley
Carson Palmer Kellen Winslow Josh Cribbs Zach Miller Arrelious Benn Malcom Floyd
Minnesota Vikings Philadelphia Eagles Nate Kaeding Green Bay Packers Stephen Gostkowski Chicago Bears
Lawrence Tynes David Akers New Orleans Saints Sebastian Janikowski Tennessee Titans Neil Rackers

Comments

By: Chris Liss
On: 1/29/2010 4:08:00 PM
I drafted three Raiders.
 
By: Scott Pianowski
On: 1/29/2010 4:35:00 PM
I should have taken Celek over Cooley, somehow I missed Celek being on the board. I'll rank Celek higher in the spring and summer.
 
By: million_dollar_sleeper
On: 1/29/2010 7:26:00 PM
wow salfino. thats an ugly team
liss vs sundelius for the win
 
By: Kevin Payne
On: 1/29/2010 7:48:00 PM
I'd name my team "Rice-a-Roni", I know it's cheesy. For the record SP got Car Smith, I have NY Smith. A lot of interesting picks to look at not saying right or wrong-Jamaal Charles, Jerome Harrison, Miles Austin, Sidney Rice, Shonn Greene, CJ Spiller, Mike Sims-Walker, Chris Wells. All of these players were taken in drastically different spots than drafts coming into the 2009-2010 season.
 
By: Dave Regan
On: 1/29/2010 7:59:00 PM
LT in round 5. Not that there's anything wrong with that, but boy how the mighty have fallen.

Still trying to reconcile Aaron Rodgers at #6 (that right?) and I'm not sure Steve Slaton is anywhere near a 3rd rounder right now.
 
By: Scott Pianowski
On: 1/29/2010 9:22:00 PM
Also, so you guys don't think I'm on ludes, I actually picked Dustin Keller in the 12th round but I didn't realize at the time that we were just going 13 rounds (totally my fault). Thus, at the end of the draft I dropped Keller and picked up the Bears defense to fill that mandatory spot. I'm not expecting some mad revival in Chicago (though I do think they'll be improved next year). I also like Keller a little bit, for what it's worth.
 
By: Mark Stopa
On: 1/30/2010 5:37:00 AM
Observations: Interesting that elite QBs fell to round 5. So much for SGreene being a sleeper. Did you know Warner retired when you drafted? Fitz and Wells are too high, but more understandable if you didn't know.

Values: Jacobs and Addai (I don't like 'em, either, but sixth round - geez); FJones, Charles, Ben.

Busts: LT (I see shades of Marvin Harrison here - HOF career with one team, then nobody wants him); Wells, BEdwards (easy on the Sanchez cool aid, Mike)

Best teams: Dalton, SP, Liss. Everyone gets studs in rounds 1-4, so I think the key is Rounds 5-6. I like what these guys did there.
 
By: msalfino
On: 1/30/2010 5:54:00 AM
MDS is following me here now, too? That's no fun.
 
By: msalfino
On: 1/30/2010 6:01:00 AM
Truth be known, with Edwards, I was debating a Mets piece I wrote yesterday at Baseball Think Factory and got caught with my pants down after forgetting how to find players in the first round and then forgetting that I needed to take the draft off of "auto" in the second. I couldn't flub three picks in a row. I do like Edwards way more than the market and am confident he'll have a 70-1100-9 type of season. But I would have taken Colston had I properly prepared for that round.
 
By: msalfino
On: 1/30/2010 6:04:00 AM
As for Rodgers, look at the board. You don't want the sixth pick. I got sh@t in the Yahoo! draft a few weeks ago for taking Charles 12th, from Pianow I swear (but maybe I'm wrong), and was hoping maybe he'd slide. Of course, I drafted him the week before he went off in the finale, but he went off the entire second half, basically. I do think he's the poor-man's Chris Johnson. But there's a 30 percent chance probably that they'll find a committee guy to share significant snaps with him.
 
By: msalfino
On: 1/30/2010 6:07:00 AM
The funniest thing about MDS and most of the commentariat in the Yahoo! draft was the mountain of crap they gave me for passing on Sidney Rice because of the 50/50 chance I gave Favre to retire. They said there was no chance of that. I wonder where they'd place those odds now. MDS was most positive that Favre will be back, I'm certain, and that any other thoughts were lunacy.
 
By: msalfino
On: 1/30/2010 6:16:00 AM
LT in round five is a joke. He's in Brian Westbrook land right now and Westbrook went five rounds later. Personally, I'd MUCH rather have Westbrook.
 
By: lvtdude
On: 1/30/2010 8:50:00 AM
All I know is I'm in a keeper league where I drafted Chris Johnson, Adrian Peterson and Andre Johnson in their rookie years and now I see all 3 going in the first 5 picks of a draft. Happy, happy, joy, joy.
 
By: Mark Stopa
On: 1/30/2010 8:53:00 AM
I was fine with Rodgers there, Mike, until I saw that Rivers and Romo went in Round 5. Of course, there was no way to know that's how it would play out.

For me, getting an elite QB is more important than ever, as the dropoff from starting someone Rivers or Romo to someone like Freeman or Flacco (who two of these teams would actually be starting every week) is so huge. Sleepers emerge at other positions, especially RB. You can fill a hole there later in the year. That's harder to do at QB.
 
By: dvr9484
On: 1/30/2010 9:17:00 AM
Breaston is the pick I'm the most concerned about in hindsight. If the Cards roll with Leinart and their passing game suffers some big-time regression, his value could fall off considerably. My mindset yesterday was that they'd trade for McNabb or another established QB (possibly giving up Boldin in the process) so Breaston would get to compete for a starting spot with Early Doucet. If that scenario doesn't happen, Breaston in Round 9 is a bad pick. As for Doucet, he looked an awful lot like a Boldin clone in that playoff game against the Packers, close enough where in a deeper league or with some bench spots in a 12-team league, I would strongly consider him in the later rounds.
 
By: million_dollar_sleeper
On: 1/30/2010 11:47:00 AM
in a world of plentiful QBs n TEs, why would you spend early rd picks on em? that makes zero sense. brian westbroken? what? favre will be back. why wouldnt he? he had a superb year, hes healthy and hes on a super bowl team. No way he retires knowing that a bunch of stupid fumbles kept them out of the championship. No way he retires. Youre just a anti-favreite
 
By: million_dollar_sleeper
On: 1/30/2010 11:49:00 AM
btw salfino, thats two drafts in a row you passed up Colston for overrated new york WRs. I dont think you belong in these drafts when youre drafting hometown players b/c you dont like favre or payton. Thats roto malpractice
 
By: abducens2008
On: 1/30/2010 12:27:00 PM
Liss has a good team? Sorry, but I can't see it. Three Raider players are bad enough, but Mendenhall at no.1? SJax can't get into the endzone. I like JStew but still DeAngelo is in line for a rebound year, unless he gets traded. Aromashadu? I wouldn't touch a Bears WR right now in any round. The Bears can't even find a coach who wants the OC job. Could it be nobody wants to work with Cutler? TO is garbage at this point, and I think players like Mike Wallace, LeSean McCoy or Brent Celek would have been better value picks. It's hard for me to punk anyone at kicker, but, c'mon Chris, Janokowski? Dude, the Raiders offense is inept. How many FGs can they score, let alone extra points? I actually think Stotts has the best team.
 
By: million_dollar_sleeper
On: 1/30/2010 12:43:00 PM
kickers are meaningless, seriously who cares, i dont even draft em. this league has 6 wr & rb positions to start and Liss filled em all and still got Big Ben at QB. Arosh is his 5th WR, crying about a bench WR? weak stuff adbucens. He has 3 raiders..... on the bench. big deal
 
By: msalfino
On: 1/30/2010 1:59:00 PM
Tight ends are not plentiful. And only nine WRs had more yards than Gates. And 12 WRs had more TDs. There were way more than nine or 12 WRs taken before I took Gates, I'll wager. There were seven TEs within 300 yards of Gates. Seven. That's a lot of points to leave on the table. Gates is exactly to other TEs as Andre Johnson is to WRs and I don't hear anyone saying taking AJ FIFTH overall was a bad move. As for Rodgers, I hated doing that. But that draft spot sucked. Rodgers TD running makes him the clear No. 1 QB. If I would have known I could have gotten Romo in RD five, I would have passed given the RBs that were available. Charles and Romo is way better than Rodgers and Sproles, I'll wager. I'm not going to explain the Edwards pick again. And you're wrong about Favre in the sense that all the evidence right now is leaning heavily toward retirement. But keep living in your own private Idaho, MDS.
 
By: msalfino
On: 1/30/2010 2:01:00 PM
And as for passing on the RB, the upside is that those middle round RBs for me all have SERIOUS upside. Guaranteed one pops and probably two, depending on the format (yards per catch helps). Tomlinson is gone, although I do like Sproles the least of these three, relative to draft placement.
 
By: msalfino
On: 1/30/2010 2:02:00 PM
I actually got Sproles in RD six, so I take that back. That's a very good value, IMO.
 
By: million_dollar_sleeper
On: 1/30/2010 4:27:00 PM
Rodgers in round 1 or Rivers, Romo, Brady in rd 5? hmmmmmm. does it even matter if Rodgers is the best qb when you destroyed his value? Sure salfino, "the year of the TE" was actually thin at the position. Only 12 TEs scored more than 100 pts, excluding Daniels, Finley n Cooley. TE is a thin position, especially in a 12 team league with 15 TEs. lol. You might as well start focusing on your "will he wont he" anti-favreite articles, be sure to pepper in some interception and wrangler jeans jokes. Nobody cares about stats, it's all about who you dislike. Did you fall on the floor when Dalton took Nicks? Crabtree was obviously one of those "omg he took my player" desperation picks
 
By: abducens2008
On: 1/30/2010 7:41:00 PM
Hey, MDS...nothing weak at all. You can't smack me for questioning the drafting of a 'fifth' WR like Arosh when players like Mike Wallace or Brent Celek are still on the board. Heck, I'd rather have Marshawn Lynch than Arosh. Say what you want about Lynch, but at least he's still a no.1 RB, either in Buffalo or elsewhere if he is traded. I like Michael Bush, but so long as Al Davis is alive, McFadden will be the no.1 RB in Oakland. Celek is a better player than Zach Miller, and taking Arosh ahead of a better starter? I have a lot of respect for Liss, don't get me wrong, but I just think his draft could have been better. Again, Mendenhall as a no.1 pick? Oye, not good, but that's just me.
 
By: abducens2008
On: 1/30/2010 7:46:00 PM
One more thing, MDS....kickers aren't always 'meaningless'...I drafted David Akers in the last round of my leaugue, and he got me double digit points on several occasions, including the league championship that I won. Kickers won't win a league, but if you draft the right one, that can make a difference between a title and finishing in second place. Every spot on a roster deserves due diligence, even a kicker.
 
By: abducens2008
On: 1/30/2010 7:59:00 PM
msalfino, I actually liked your draft a lot. I think picking Rodgers in round one was a good move. Last year, he was in the top five of all leagues, in terms of production. After Rodgers, Rivers, Brees, Manning and Brady, there is a big drop. I wouldn't want to rely on Schaub, given his injury history, and he is not consistent enough for my taste. I think QBs are a lot more valuable then most experts seem to think. I think Lesean McCoy will be a beast in Philly, and Westy isn't gonna get in his way anymore. Mike Wallace is a nice value pick, and I think he will be productive. I think the Niners make become a very good team in the not-too-distant future, and Crabtree is the unquestioned no.1 WR on that team. I also like Gates, who is really the no.1a or no.1b receiver on a pass-heavy offense. Lastly, Favre is done. Whomever inherits the QB spot in Minny will be a fantasy stud next year.
 
By: abducens2008
On: 1/30/2010 8:13:00 PM
One more thing....how does Derrick Mason go in the last round? Mason is a no.1 WR and has scored at least 5 TDs in the past three years. I know he's getting older, but he's definitely not slowing down. Shoot, Mason is a solid no.2 WR on any fantasy team, including PPR leagues, IMO. Last round? Herb Ilk got the steal of the draft, no question.
 
By: msalfino
On: 1/30/2010 9:39:00 PM
I was looking at Mason. But I thought S. Moss was a better pick because he's a talent and Mike Shanahan will maximize his talent. Mason is in the decline stage, we just don't know how much and how fast. MDS: the idea of falling on the floor when someone takes a player in one of these things is laughable. I'm multitasking and blogging the draft and then I hear "it's your turn" and make a pick. I generally have no idea who's picked who and where. I'm just looking at the queue. This entire draft took about 55 minutes.
 
By: abducens2008
On: 1/30/2010 10:32:00 PM
msalfino, I'm not too high on S Moss, but I do agree that Shanahan will help bring his numbers up. Heck, S Moss has only one way to go but up, now that Zorn is gone. I think you got him for a good value in the 10th round. I'm still a bit surprised to see Mason in the last round, getting picked after kickers, defense, Golden Tate and Arrelious Benn. I do think, without a doubt, the running back situation in Washington just went from bad to worse. Clinton Portis had questionable value to start, and now the same coach that traded him for Champ Bailey, who is legendary for killing all value for RBs in fantasy football, is in Washington. Honestly, I'm not even sure I'd draft Portis, but before round 10 is too soon for me. Again, I think your pick of McCoy was a great one. McCoy was a stud at Pitt, and he will put up big numbers in that offense. I think getting McCoy in the 8th round is a very good value, IMO. Last point, I think the Pittsburgh D is in for a big fall. Their DBs are not that great, and a once solid Dline is getting old fast. Pitt's D will take a big hit when Hampton leaves, and I think I'm staying away from them next year. Plus, Palomalu is unreliable with his injury history.
 
By: Kevin Payne
On: 1/31/2010 7:08:00 AM
ABD-Don't be surprised to see the Ravens take Benn or Tate with their first round pick. That plus another year older from Mason hurts his value. Mason isn't going to win you a championship next year but he's a great value at that spot.
 
By: million_dollar_sleeper
On: 1/31/2010 12:02:00 PM
i just checked the fantasy football log book and confirmed what i had originally thought: no one has ever won a league taking a qb in rd 1, its official
 
By: ackbar1138
On: 1/31/2010 3:01:00 PM
Mendenhall in Rd. 1? TO? Please explain, Chris. I did like the rest of your draft, even with the Raiders guys lol.

Salfino-P. Thomas in the 2nd? What is this, August 09?
 
By: ackbar1138
On: 1/31/2010 3:06:00 PM
Miles Austin put up Pro Bowl numbers in a little over half a season. I think he should (and will) go even higher when draft time rolls around (barring an injury to him or Romo, of course). I'd rather have him than P Thomas or Mendenhall for sure, and before Sidney Rice, especially if Favre does retire.
 
By: Chris Liss
On: 1/31/2010 5:06:00 PM
I love Mendenhall - good offense, big, strong, fast, can catch passes, block. Unquestioned starter, low mileage. What's not to like? As for TO, made some big plays this year and outperformed Lee Evans who's a good receiver - I don't think he's necessarily done if he goes to the right situation. He's old, but also an all-time talent, so he could be one of the rare ones that still gets it done at his age. Kind of a gamble, but I like the upside. One thing to remember (for everyone commenting) is that we're not drafting based on what happened last year. We're drafting based on what these guys might do in 2010. So it really doesn't matter than SJax got 2 TDs or whatever. He's gotten plenty of TDs on bad teams in the past. Last year is gone for good.
 
By: ackbar1138
On: 1/31/2010 5:50:00 PM
I see the upside for Mendenhall. However, if your'e playing with people you think you have an edge over, it might be a gamble to take him that high. Since you were playing with experts, I can see taking a chance on a guy with that kind of upside, especially considering the other options you had there. To win a league with the colleagues you have, you gotta take some chances. I like fantasy baseball, but man, Im ready for fantasy football again already!
 
By: msalfino
On: 1/31/2010 6:19:00 PM
Mike Bell was totally phased out of that playoff game and Thomas got all the big carries. Maybe it's a harbinger. Remember, Bush might be gone, too.
 
By: msalfino
On: 1/31/2010 6:24:00 PM
I agree with MDS about the QB in RD 1. It's a bad stategy. But that doesn't mean it wasn't the best strategy at the time. It was Rodgers or Charles, and I took Charles at the end of RD 1 in Yahoo once already. Also, these types of exercises are done to inform our work. Could you survive at RB by taking a QB No. 1? I think I showed you can. Those middle round guys sort of excite me. WR is a bigger problem, it appears, but needing one receiver is far from crippling post-draft. I knew my WRs would be weak and that's why I took Gates.
 
By: ackbar1138
On: 2/1/2010 8:33:00 AM
salfino, I actually like the upside backs you picked up in bradshaw and sproles. Those guys could blow up next season. I dont hate on your rodgers pick-after the five guys who went before him, what other pick is absolute money in the bank like Rodgers? You wouldnt regret that pick if this league were really played out. And Edwards and Wallace are a bit risky, but both have HUGE upside. I actually like you playing it safe at pick 6 and getting agressive with upside guys (have I said upside enough) throughout. You are either gonna win the league or go down in flames, and that is how you ought to draft? Who wants to be mediocre? I'm still not sold on the P Thomas pick, though.
 
By: puig
On: 2/1/2010 12:55:00 PM
Zach and Chris came out the best, I think.

Am I reading correctly that Ryan Grant was the last pick in round 2? I can't see how he isn't a top 8 RB.
 
By: million_dollar_sleeper
On: 2/1/2010 2:51:00 PM
bad news for forte, mike martz is ready to destroy his value
 
By: schoenke
On: 2/2/2010 1:19:00 PM
Yeah, at this point Forte really is an inflection point for the draft. I'm not totally sold Martz is his demise. So much of his 2008 value came on dump off passes.
 
By: msalfino
On: 2/2/2010 4:14:00 PM
Martz is the best thing that ever happened to Forte. Since when he is he bad for RBs? I guess he killed Marshall Faulk. Come on, MDS! I expect more from you than rote repetition of demonstrably wrong conventional wisdom.
 

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