Archive June 2013

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NBA Rookies To Watch This Season

After Thursday night's wildly unpredictable NBA Draft, the destinations of this year's top prospects are now established, providing an opportunity to examine which players stand to make the biggest fantasy impacts during their rookie campaigns. Along with their talent, the following first-year players figure to make fantasy splashes due to the situations they find themselves in and their likelihoods of earning significant playing time during the 2013-2014 season.

NHL Draft Chat

This could be a very interesting afternoon. Surrounding the strongest draft class since 2003 is a deafening buzz of trade talk. Tyler Kennedy's already been dealt from the Pens to the Sharks for the 50th overall pick, with plenty of other names being bandied about. Multiple teams have multiple picks too, which makes the trade possibilities even juicier.

A Very Early Look at Tight End ADP

Despite the latest new that has obviously turned the tight end position completely upside down, we’re going to finish off the skill positions in this early ADP look series and check it out anyway.

NBA Draft Chat

Join Chris Morgan (@ChrisXMorgan) and several other writers talking about the draft live as it happens. Jump in, comment, and join the discussion.

A Very Early Look at Wide Receiver ADP

We’re going to continue our early look at football ADP here with the wide receivers today, but before we do, there just seems to be a need for some clarification. The current ADP numbers we are looking at are going to change.

Chicago Wins The Cup

Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • I've always loved prime numbers. I think 17 is my new favorite number. I think both teams were in shock; I know I was. What a crazy turn of events ... but I'll take it!
  • Was the first period the best hockey Corey Crawford has ever played? If not, it's pretty darn close. Well done. But he still shouldn't get a job with Team Canada for the coming Olympics.

Lord Stanley Advantage Blackhawks

Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • Bryan Bickell is the perfect foil for Patrick Kane. There's nothing like having a big body to clear space, pick the puck up off the wall and make you look good. Still, Kane sure can snipe.
  • Earth to Claude Julien -- Joel Quennville didn't notice Zdeno Chara wasn't on the bench for several shifts earlier this series, so did you actually expect him to miss Patrice Bergeron if he'd gone to the room? Leaving Bergeron on the bench instead of getting him to hospital a period earlier is a crime, particularly with the breathing struggles he seemed to be having in the first period. 

Show Notes: 6/22

Here's a recap of Saturday's edition of RotoWire Fantasy Sports Today hosted by Derek VanRiper and Shannon McKeown.

A Very Early Look at Running Back ADP

Before we get to the running backs and their ADP numbers, let’s just make sure that everyone is up to date with what this article series is about. In the introductory piece, we discussed that the purpose of this series is to track the ADP trends of each player and each position so that when it comes time for you to actually head to your war room and draft your fantasy football team, you have a firm grasp of where players are going and how that affects your overall draft strategy.

Lord Stanley Knotted At Two

Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • Welcome to the postseason, Jonathan Toews -- you finally got off the schnide. You should have probably had two goals and you made the winner possible. Have the Bruins woken the bear?
  • So, what was up with Zdeno Chara? He was frustrated one minute and falling the next. And he was a better door than window for Tuukka Rask on the game winner. I guess he can have one bad game.

A Very Early Look At Quarterback ADP

With the introductory ADP article out of the way, it’s time to get a little more position-specific. We don’t have enough data to begin discussing individual player trends, but what we can start to do here in the early stages of your draft prep is take a look at some of the ADP for each position and how it compares to last year.

The Problems with Value-Based Drafting

Problems with Value Based Drafting

Value Based Drafting in fantasy football is essentially valuing a player to the extent he exceeds the baseline player at his particular position. For example, if Aaron Rodgers is projected to score 427 fantasy points, and in your 12-team league, the No. 12 QB (the baseline player), Robert Griffin, is projected to score 322 points, then Rodgers' value is 105 points. Compare that to Adrian Peterson who we project for 290 points and who exceeds our No. 24 RB, Ahmad Bradshaw (168 points), by 122 points. According to VBD*, Peterson is more valuable than Rodgers in that case - by 17 points.

ADP First Look: Preparing for Fantasy Football

You might be thinking that it’s still too early to be discussing fantasy football, but with free agent signings, team OTA’s coming and going, reports of other off-season workouts and important keeper league decisions needing to be made, we’re here to tell you that it’s never too early.

Lord Stanley Game Three

Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Fool Joel Quennville four times? Shame on the organization. Zdeno Chara was in the dressing room with a skate issue for at least four shifts and Quennville failed to get Jonathan Toews on the ice for any of them. How does that happen with today's technology?
  • Tuukka Rask. Wow. Great game, but "the ice gets sh$^% at the ends of periods"? NBC's Pierre McGuire seems to inspire swearing, eh? Andrew Shaw got him at the end of Game 1, too.

Lord Stanley Game Two

Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • How many Hawks can a Bruin hit if a Bruin could hit Hawks? Answer? 50. Wow. Hit the ice tubs, boys.
  • Jaromir Jagr and his anti-beard -- so close, yet so far, far away. Maybe the posts have fattened up over the duration of his career.

Lord Stanley Game One

Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • I almost went to bed after the third Boston goal. What a mistake that would have been, eh?! Cue the comeback.
  • Marian Hossa will do anything to win. He, Milan Lucic and Tuukka Rask were the best players on the ice through two OTs.

NHL Playoff Observations -- Cup Runneth Over

Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • Is Corey Crawford the Rodney Dangerfield of NHL twinetenders? He don't get no respect.
  • June 9 sure is a big day for Patrick Kane. A natural hat trick sends the Hawks to the final. Three years ago, his goal delivered a Cup ... on exactly the same day.

NHL Playoff Observations -- Brooms Come Out

Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • Best save of the night? Zdeno Chara's backhanded snag in the last minute. That stung, but not as much as it would have had the puck found twine.
  • Tuukka Rask, second-best goalie in the world or just lucky? Discuss.

NHL Playoff Observations -- Pens on the Ropes

Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • Soooo ... who would you rather have on your team this postseason? Sidney Crosby or David Krejci? Discuss.
  • Repeat after me -- Jarome Iginla does not belong in black and gold. And that's not because I'm a Flames' fan. He has never fit into the Pens system and looks lost. That whistling sound you hear is the air coming out of his FA value

NHL Playoff Observations -- Conference Finals Monday

Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • Coincidence or not? Sidney Crosby sheds his jaw protector and goes two games without a point, the first time this season he's been held pointless for that duration of time. He looked ... average, at best.
  • The Kings scored 11 goals in five games against the Blues, 14 in seven against the Sharks and now three in two against the Hawks. Their average goals-per-game is on a serious decline. They'd better get serious about scoring goals when they return to La-La-Land.

NHL Playoff Observations -- Round Three Begins

Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • I'm not sure I've seen Sidney Crosby as angry as he was at the end of the second period. He let Tuukka Rask get under his skin and then popped Rask in the chest (twice). And he chirped Zdeno Chara who had his number all night long (hint: he's too big for you Sid). He let them get him off his game. 
  • Why is Corey Crawford the least-desirable goalie in the conference semis? That goal Saturday was a fluke. And he's allowed just a single goal in three of his last four games.

Show Notes: 6/1

Opening Thoughts

Stephen Strasburg owners shouldn't be too worried about his injury as far as panicking and selling low. Further, the oblique injury has nothing to do with him being shut down by the Nats last season.

Accounting for the likelihood of a couple missed starts, Strasburg now falls just behind Justin Verlander, Felix Hernandez and Adam Wainwright (sixth among starting pitchers) for the rest of the season.

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What I Think You Should Know About The USMNT
Needless to say, it's been a great World Cup thus far. The USMNT having some success would be awesome.
La-La-La-L.A. Gets Lord Stanley!
Just a few things that caught my eye:
  • Alec Martinez's Cup-winning goal celebration? # priceless. I wonder if he'll ever get his gloves back.
  • Henrik Lundqvist stopped the 50th shot of the game. He couldn't stop the 51st. #connsmythe if the Rangers had found a way to come back in this series.
Do Analytics Take the Fun Out of Sports?
Apparently that was the topic of one of the presentations at the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference in Boston last week. The presenter, Yale's Edward Tufte, opined:

Don't let people tell you analytics are reductionist and take the joy out of sports. They mostly just take the stupidity out of sports.

Is he right?

RotoWire's AL LABR Squad
The 2014 AL LABR auction went down at the Arizona Republic offices in downtown Phoenix Saturday night. It's a 12-team, 5 x 5, AL-only league with 2 C, 1 1B, 1 2B. 1 3B, 1 SS, 1 CI, 1 MI, 5 OF, 1 U and 9 pitchers. Everyone has $260 to spend.
The Problem With Drafting Billy Hamilton
Billy Hamilton went for $28 in the NL LABR auction this past weekend. I discussed this with a fellow writer who participates in Tout Wars with me later this month and we discussed the problem with investing heavily into Hamilton.

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